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Preliminary Economic Assessment

Stage 3 of 8

Preliminary Economic Assessment — a first-pass, lower-confidence study of whether the deposit could be economic to mine, used to justify further spending.

A Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) is the first formal look at whether a deposit could be economically mined. It uses conceptual mine designs, order-of-magnitude cost estimates, and often assumes some material currently only in the Inferred category, so it carries low confidence — regulators require it to be labeled as such. Its purpose is to give the company (and investors) a first read on project economics — NPV, IRR, payback — to justify spending on the more rigorous, expensive studies that follow. A strong PEA is a green light to keep advancing; a weak one often kills a project outright.

How this phase gets valued

P / NPV (scoping-study economics)

Typically ~0.1–0.2x the study's own NPV — the market discounts PEA-level ±35–50% cost accuracy heavily.

What drives speculation at this stage

As drilling fills in the deposit's outline, investors are pricing how large and how rich it could ultimately get — a size-of-the-prize bet often made well ahead of, and sometimes independent of, the PEA's own preliminary economics.

Companies At This Stage75