JUNIORMETRICS

NovaGold Resources Inc.

NG·NG·$6.47·$2.8B cap
GoldDonlin Gold Project, Alaska (60% interest, with Paulson Advisers) Map

NovaGold co-owns (60%, alongside Paulson Advisers) the Donlin Gold project in Alaska, one of the world's largest known undeveloped gold deposits, currently advancing a bankable feasibility study targeted for 2027. The Donlin acquisition (definitive agreements entered 21 Jul 2026) will create a US-domiciled company with an equity value of roughly US$4.2 billion (existing NovaGold shareholders 65%, Paulson 35%); a special shareholder meeting to approve the share issuance is targeted for late Q3 2026, with closing expected in Q4 2026, subject to shareholder, court and regulatory approvals. The Donlin acquisition (definitive agreements entered 21 Jul 2026) will create a US-domiciled company with an equity value of roughly US$4.2 billion (existing NovaGold shareholders 65%, Paulson 35%); a special shareholder meeting to approve the share issuance is targeted for late Q3 2026, with closing expected in Q4 2026, subject to shareholder, court and regulatory approvals.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Financials score of 7.1/10 is stronger than the peer average of 5.3/10.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
FeasibilityCurrent
Permitting
Construction
Production
Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
0/10 built out

Not in place: mill, tailings facility, road access, grid power.

6.8/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
6.8/10 vs.
7.1/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
7.1/10 vs.
How this is calculated
6.5/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
6.5/10 vs.
How this is calculated
4.6/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
4.6/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)9/10

    Alaska: Fraser PPI 2025 is 82.71 of 100 (rank 19 of 68), which maps to 9 on this site's scale. Alaska, United States — top-tier, low political-risk mining jurisdiction.

  • Infrastructure (40%)0/10

    No confirmed mill, no confirmed road access, no confirmed grid power, and no confirmed tailings facility at Donlin Gold Project, Alaska (60% interest, with Paulson Advisers).

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)Not yet researched

    No producing mine within 50 km in our reference list (nearest listed: Fort Knox (Kinross Gold Corporation), 629 km). That list doesn't cover every mining district yet, so a longer distance isn't scored as remote.

6.3/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
6.3/10 vs.
Price Chart
$5.89$9.95$9.06$5.82$6.52AugDecAprJulOct2
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$6.47
+27.5%from low-55.1%from high
$5.08$14.40
See who ↓
1.3%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
1.3% vs.
See who ↓
80.3%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
80.3% vs.
$2.8B
Far belowFar above
$2.8B vs. $21.9M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
$6.47
Cash Position (USD)
$370.2M
Far belowFar above
$370.2M vs. $3.3M peer median
Debt (USD)
$173.6M
Far aboveFar below
$173.6M vs. $0 peer median
$2.6B
Far belowFar above
$2.6B vs. $19.4M peer median
438.8M
Far aboveFar below
438.8M vs. 153.6M peer median
Jurisdiction
United States
39,988,000 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Measured793,000 oz
Indicated39,195,000 oz
Inferrednot scored5,812,000 oz
Total resource45,800,000 oz
Far belowFar above
40M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$66.08/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$57.69/oz
Peer median $69.13/oz
Far aboveFar below
$66.08/oz vs. $133.23/oz peer median
0.0648 oz/tCut-off: 0.75 g/t Au (Reserve, NSR cutoff $29.95-32.36/t); Resources use a marginal NSR cutoff of $26.86/t (not separately expressed in g/t)
Far belowFar above
0.0648 oz/t vs. 0.0379 oz/t peer median
Open pit
27 yrs2025 study
Far belowFar above
27 yrs vs. 11.1 yrs peer median
@5%$5.1B2025 study · gold deck US$2,100 vs spot US$4,133/oz
Far belowFar above
$5.1B vs. $602M peer median
0.94x2025 study · gold deck US$2,100 vs spot US$4,133/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.94x vs. 0.32x peer median
0.87x2025 study · gold deck US$2,100 vs spot US$4,133/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.87x vs. 0.29x peer median
$9.2B2025 study
Far aboveFar below
$9.2B vs. $276.5M peer median
0.5xBelow Durrett's 2:1 bar2025 study · gold deck US$2,100 vs spot US$4,133/oz
Far belowFar above
0.5x vs. 2.4x peer median
$2,100/oz49% below spot ($4,133/oz)2025 study
10%Below Durrett's 25% developer bar2025 study · gold deck US$2,100 vs spot US$4,133/oz
Far belowFar above
10% vs. 43% peer median
1.3%
0%100%
1.3% vs. 12.1% peer median
80.3%
0%100%
80.3% vs. 3.3% peer median
629 kmfrom Kinross Gold Corporation's Fort Knox
Outside typical bolt-on range
-$62.5M
Far belowFar above
-$62.5M vs. -$3.3M peer median
-$0.143
Far belowFar above
-$0.143 vs. -$0.018 peer median

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
6.4/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score:
    8.5/10

    Disclosed pending merger

    A disclosed pending acquisition scores 10 and a merger 8.5; any other corporate action, none, or a deal in which the company is the buyer isn't scored.

    Weight 26.25% · 35% here
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No producer holds a disclosed stake on file (holder register researched) See holders

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    0/10

    Nearest producing mine: Fort Knox (Kinross Gold Corporation), 629 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 30% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Stage: Feasibility Study

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 20% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    9/10

    United States: jurisdiction score 9/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 9% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 6% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-30% since 2026-07-26 · -30% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

President and Chief Executive Officer of NOVAGOLD Resources Inc. since Jan 2012, which holds a 50% interest in the Donlin Gold project in Alaska. Over 35 years of experience in mine operations, project development and evaluations. BSc (Mining Engineering), University of Missouri-Rolla; Stanford University Executive Program graduate. Career progression through International Corona Corporation and Homestake Mining Company (both later merged into Barrick Gold Corporation) to President of Barrick Gold North America and Managing Director of Barrick Gold Australia, until his Nov 2011 transition out of that role, immediately before joining NovaGold.

Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of NOVAGOLD Resources Inc., appointed effective 15 Jul 2024. Over 20 years of experience in corporate finance, capital markets, financial reporting and tax in the mining sector. Career: KPMG's Toronto Audit practice (global mining/manufacturing, to 2008); equity research, RBC Capital Markets Global Mining division (2008-2010); 14 years at Hudbay Minerals Inc., progressing to CFO of its Arizona Business Unit and then VP Finance (from 2019), immediately before NovaGold.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money
5/10

Paulson & Co is going from an 8.1% shareholder to roughly 40% of the economics of the company. Under definitive agreements announced in July 2026, NOVAGOLD acquires the 40% of Donlin Gold it does not own from Paulson, who takes shares in a new parent -- about 40% economic with voting capped at 19.99%, in an enterprise valued around US$4.2B, expected to close in Q4 2026. That is a specialist investor converting a project-level interest into a company-level one, which is a considered bet rather than a passive allocation.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

NovaGold's sole asset is a 60% interest in the Donlin Gold project in Alaska, one of the world's largest known undeveloped gold deposits, which it co-owns with Paulson Advisers. Donlin holds 39,988,000 oz of gold in measured and indicated resources (793,000 oz measured, 39,195,000 oz indicated) on a 100% basis, inclusive of reserves, plus 5,812,000 oz inferred. A January 2026 economics update shows an after-tax NPV5% of US$5.06B and a 10.3% IRR at a US$2,100/oz gold price, with initial capital of US$9.23B, a 27-year mine life and average production of about 1.1 Moz a year; a bankable feasibility study is targeted for 2027. Under agreements signed on 21 July 2026, a new US-domiciled company, NovaGold Corporation, will acquire all NovaGold shares one-for-one and buy Paulson's 40% of Donlin in an all-share deal, taking the project to 100%; existing NovaGold shareholders would own about 65%. Closing is expected in Q4 2026, subject to shareholder, court and regulatory approvals.

AI take

Q2 FY2026 10-Q. Note 7 discloses a promissory note payable to Barrick Gold of $173,649,000 ($158,916,000 principal + $14,733,000 accrued interest at U.S. prime + 2%), arising from Donlin Gold cost-sharing history and secured by NGRA's interest in Donlin Gold proceeds; prepayable in full for $100,000,000 on or before December 3, 2026. Total liabilities $177,727,000; cash/term deposits/marketable securities of $370.2M-$371.4M.

Recent News

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