JUNIORMETRICS

Antipa Minerals Limited

ATPMF·AZY·US$0.35 (AUD 0.49)·US$229.2M cap
Goldalso:Minyari Dome, Paterson Province, Western Australia Map

Antipa Minerals is advancing its 100%-owned Minyari Dome gold-copper project (including the Fiama and Rizzo deposits) in WA's Paterson Province. Its October 2024 scoping study update showed a post-tax NPV7% of A$598 million and a 46% IRR at A$3,000/oz gold; the principal Pre-Feasibility Study workstreams were reported complete in September 2026, with the study itself not yet published.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Trading within 8% of its 52-week low — weak recent price momentum.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEACurrent
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
Production
Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Road Access2.9/10 built out

Not in place: mill, tailings facility, grid power.

7.5/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
7.5/10 vs.
5.2/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
5.2/10 vs.
How this is calculated
5.8/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
5.8/10 vs.
How this is calculated
6.4/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
6.4/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)9/10

    Western Australia: Fraser PPI 2025 is 88.53 of 100 (rank 13 of 68), which maps to 9 on this site's scale. Western Australia is a Tier-1 mining jurisdiction.

  • Infrastructure (40%)2.9/10

    No confirmed mill, confirmed road access, no confirmed grid power, and no confirmed tailings facility at Minyari Dome, Paterson Province, Western Australia.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)8.2/10

    Telfer (Greatland Resources Limited) is 48 km away -- within regional-platform range.

6.2/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
6.2/10 vs.
Price Chart
$0.395$0.405$0.398$0.398$0.339JulNovMarJulOct
Jul 25, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
Stage changeNews
$0.35
+6.4%from low-42.5%from high
$0.32$0.60
See who ↓
11.4%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
11.4% vs.
See who ↓
38.8%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
38.8% vs.
$229.2M
Far belowFar above
$229.2M vs. $21.9M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$0.35 (AUD 0.49)
Cash Position (USD)
$27.1M
Far belowFar above
$27.1M vs. $3.3M peer median
Debt (USD)
Far aboveFar below
$0 vs. $0 peer median
$202.1M
Far belowFar above
$202.1M vs. $19.4M peer median
663.8M
Far aboveFar below
663.8M vs. 153.6M peer median
Jurisdiction
Australia
2,200,000 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Indicated2,200,000 oz
Inferrednot scored700,000 oz
Total resource2,900,000 oz
Far belowFar above
2.2M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$91.85/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$69.68/oz
Peer median $67.95/oz
Far aboveFar below
$91.85/oz vs. $133.23/oz peer median
Cut-off: 1.5–1.6 g/t Au (combined open-pit/underground schedule)
Open pit and underground
10 yrs2024 study
Far belowFar above
10 yrs vs. 11.1 yrs peer median
$1,205/oz2024 study
@7%$418.6M2024 study · gold deck US$2,100 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
$418.6M vs. $603M peer median
0.55x2024 study · gold deck US$2,100 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.55x vs. 0.32x peer median
0.48x2024 study · gold deck US$2,100 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.48x vs. 0.29x peer median
$214.4M2024 study
Far aboveFar below
$214.4M vs. $293.2M peer median
2xBelow Durrett's 2:1 bar2024 study · gold deck US$2,100 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
2x vs. 2.4x peer median
$2,100/oz49% below spot ($4,114/oz)2024 study
46%Clears Durrett's 25% developer bar2024 study · gold deck US$2,100 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
46% vs. 43% peer median
11.4%
0%100%
11.4% vs. 12.1% peer median
38.8%
0%100%
38.8% vs. 3.3% peer median
48 kmfrom Greatland Resources Limited's Telfer
Within regional-platform range (~50km)
-$26.7M
Far belowFar above
-$26.7M vs. -$3.3M peer median
-$0.04
Far belowFar above
-$0.04 vs. -$0.018 peer median

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
6.4/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No producer holds a disclosed stake on file (holder register researched) See holders

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    5.2/10

    Nearest producing mine: Telfer (Greatland Resources Limited), 48 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    6/10

    Stage: Preliminary Economic Assessment

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    9/10

    Australia: jurisdiction score 9/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-27.6% since 2026-07-23 · -27.6% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

Geologist with 37+ years across exploration, project development, and business development in nickel, base metals, and gold. Began his career at Western Mining Corporation in 1987, then spent nearly a decade at Forrestania Gold (later acquired by LionOre International), rising to General Manager Geology for LionOre Australia and then Norilsk Nickel Australia after its 2007 takeover of LionOre. Consulted to Integra Mining on the Randalls Gold feasibility study before becoming Managing Director & CEO of Antipa Minerals at its April 2011 ASX listing — a role he still holds today.

Holds a Bachelor of Arts in history and politics (1992) and a Bachelor of Laws (1995), both from University of Western Australia and Murdoch University respectively, and brings nearly 30 years of experience as a lawyer and corporate consultant in the resources sector. Served as General Counsel for LionOre Mining International and as former Chair of Coalspur Mines, and founded Napier Capital Pty Ltd in 2008. Joined Antipa Minerals Ltd in 2010 and was appointed its Executive Chair effective October 2024; also a current director of Lepidico.

Non-Executive Chairman of Vantage Metals Limited and a non-executive director of Antipa Minerals Limited. Mining executive with 45+ years' experience; currently Non-Executive Chairman of Nimy Resources Ltd and Belararox Ltd.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money
6/10

Antipa's producer backing changed materially in December 2024: Newmont fully exited when it sold Telfer, Havieron and related Paterson Province assets to Greatland Gold for up to US$475M, and its entire Antipa share block transferred off-market to Greatland as part of that deal rather than Newmont continuing to hold a position in its own right -- Newmont's July 2024 top-up right is now moot. Greatland, which operates Telfer and Havieron in the same province, is the substantial-holder party today, confirmed at 6.34% as of 15 July 2025 (the most recent figure available), diluted from 7.38% by further Antipa share issues including a A$40 million placement. Institutional ownership is 38.8%.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Antipa Minerals owns 100% of the Minyari Dome gold-copper project, including the Fiama and Rizzo deposits, in the Paterson Province of Western Australia, planned as an open-pit and underground operation. Minyari Dome holds 2,200,000 oz of gold in indicated resources, with no measured category, plus 300,000 oz inferred. The October 2024 scoping study update for a 3 Mtpa operation shows an after-tax NPV7% of US$418.6M (AUD 598M) and a 46% IRR at US$2,100/oz (AUD 3,000/oz) gold, with pre-production capital of US$214.4M (AUD 306.3M), a 10-year mine life averaging 130,000 oz a year and an all-in sustaining cost of US$1,205/oz (AUD 1,721/oz). A pre-feasibility study is under way, with test work reported in July 2026 confirming conventional gold-copper processing, and a final investment decision is not expected until mid-2028.

AI take

Appendix 5B: item 3.5 'Proceeds from borrowings' nil; item 3.6 'Repayment of borrowings' nil; item 7.1 'Loan facilities' nil. Company held cash of ~A$51M with no debt as of this quarter.

AI take

This update confirms conventional (non-exotic) gold-copper processing works for Minyari Dome ore, which matters because it removes a technical-risk overhang from the 2024 scoping study that showed a post-tax NPV7% of A$1.8 billion at A$5,000/oz gold. Conventional processing generally means lower capital cost and faster permitting than novel flowsheets. The company is targeting PFS completion in August 2026, with a Final Investment Decision not expected until mid-2028 — this is still a multi-year runway before construction, not an imminent build.