JUNIORMETRICS

Vista Gold Corp.

VGZ·$2.72·$397M cap
GoldMt Todd Gold Project, Northern Territory, Australia Map

Vista Gold is advancing the Mt Todd gold project, the largest undeveloped gold project in Australia. A Q1 2026 $44.85M public offering boosted cash to $52.7M; the company was added to the Russell 2000 Index in June 2026, and targets detailed engineering start in 2027 with first production in late 2029.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Financials score of 7.8/10 is stronger than the peer average of 5.3/10.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
FeasibilityCurrent
Permitting
Construction
Production
Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Tailings FacilityRoad AccessGrid Power7.1/10 built out

Not in place: mill.

6/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
6/10 vs.
7.8/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
7.8/10 vs.
How this is calculated
5.6/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
5.6/10 vs.
How this is calculated
7.5/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
7.5/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)9/10

    Northern Territory: Fraser PPI 2025 is 73.83 of 100 (rank 33 of 68), which maps to 9 on this site's scale. Northern Territory, Australia has stable rule of law and transparent (already-secured) permitting, though native title consultation processes add some timeline risk.

  • Infrastructure (40%)7.1/10

    No confirmed mill, confirmed road access, confirmed grid power, and a confirmed tailings facility at Mt Todd Gold Project, Northern Territory, Australia.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)Not yet researched

    No producing mine within 50 km in our reference list (nearest listed: McArthur River (zinc-lead) (Glencore plc), 498 km). That list doesn't cover every mining district yet, so a longer distance isn't scored as remote.

6.7/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
6.7/10 vs.
Price Chart
$0.95$1.61$2.02$1.73$2.72JulNovMarJulOct3
Jul 25, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$2.72
+90.2%from low-13.1%from high
$1.43$3.13
See who ↓
3.4%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
3.4% vs.
See who ↓
26.7%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
26.7% vs.
$397M
Far belowFar above
$397M vs. $21.9M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
$2.72
Cash Position (USD)
$49.5M
Far belowFar above
$49.5M vs. $3.3M peer median
Debt (USD)
Far aboveFar below
$0 vs. $0 peer median
$347.5M
Far belowFar above
$347.5M vs. $19.4M peer median
146M
Far aboveFar below
146M vs. 154.2M peer median
Jurisdiction
Australia
9,100,000 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Measured + Indicated9,100,000 oz
Inferrednot scored1,430,000 oz
Total resource10,530,000 oz
Far belowFar above
9.1M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$38.19/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$33.00/oz
Peer median $68.74/oz
Far aboveFar below
$38.19/oz vs. $132.67/oz peer median
0.0243 oz/tCut-off: 0.40 g/t Au (Batman/Quigleys Mineral Resource cut-off); 0.50 g/t Au (Mineral Reserve cut-off, raised from 0.35 g/t Au in the prior Feasibility Study)
Far belowFar above
0.0243 oz/t vs. 0.0383 oz/t peer median
Open pit
30 yrs2025 study
Far belowFar above
30 yrs vs. 11.1 yrs peer median
$1,499/oz2025 study
@5%$1.1B2025 study · gold deck US$2,500 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
$1.1B vs. $602M peer median
0.36x2025 study · gold deck US$2,500 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.36x vs. 0.32x peer median
0.32x2025 study · gold deck US$2,500 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.32x vs. 0.29x peer median
$425M2025 study
Far aboveFar below
$425M vs. $276.5M peer median
2.6xClears Durrett's 2:1 bar2025 study · gold deck US$2,500 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
2.6x vs. 2.3x peer median
$2,500/oz39% below spot ($4,114/oz)2025 study
28%Clears Durrett's 25% developer bar2025 study · gold deck US$2,500 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
28% vs. 43% peer median
3.4%
0%100%
3.4% vs. 12.1% peer median
26.7%
0%100%
26.7% vs. 3.3% peer median
498 kmfrom Glencore plc's McArthur River (zinc-lead)
Outside typical bolt-on range
-$8.1M
Far belowFar above
-$8.1M vs. -$3.3M peer median
-$0.055
Far belowFar above
-$0.055 vs. -$0.018 peer median

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
5.2/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No producer holds a disclosed stake on file (holder register researched) See holders

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    0/10

    Nearest producing mine: McArthur River (zinc-lead) (Glencore plc), 498 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Stage: Feasibility Study

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    9/10

    Australia: jurisdiction score 9/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-29.5% since 2026-07-23 · -29.5% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

CPA with more than 35 years of corporate financial management experience, holding a B.S. in Business Administration and Accounting from the University of Colorado and membership in the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants. Served as Chief Financial Officer of Alacer Gold Corp. from April 2004 to August 2012, overseeing the development and early operating years of the Çöpler Gold Mine in Turkey, then ran his own consulting practice, Tobler Advisory LLC, from 2012 to 2014. Was Chief Financial Officer of Lydian International Limited from April 2014 to June 2019, and has served as Chief Financial Officer of Vista Gold Corp. since July 2019.

President, Chief Executive Officer & Director of Vista Gold Corp. At Vista Gold since 2006 (Senior VP Project Development 2006-2007, President & COO 2007-2012), appointed CEO effective 1 Jan 2012. B.S. in Mining Engineering, Colorado School of Mines (1987). Earlier career: General Manager and Legal Representative of Compania Minera Dayton, S.A. de C.V. (1998-2004), then President of Pacific Rim El Salvador, S.A. de C.V. (2004-2006) -- the El Salvador subsidiary Pacific Rim Mining Corporation gained via its 2002 merger with Dayton Mining Corporation. Pacific Rim's mining-license application was refused by El Salvador in 2008 (after Earnest's 2006 departure), leading to a notorious ICSID arbitration dispute Pacific Rim ultimately lost in 2016.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money
4/10

The rest of the named register (Millennium Management, Marshall Wace, Trek Financial, Goldman Sachs, Cetera) is generalist/multi-strategy money, not resource-specialist. The one other positive is a run of small, genuine open-market director purchases, but the most recent is from March 2024, so it says more about 2024 than about now.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Vista Gold is advancing its 100%-owned Mt Todd gold project in Australia's Northern Territory, planned as an open-pit mine. Mt Todd holds 9,100,000 oz of gold in measured and indicated resources (340.4 Mt at 0.83 g/t) plus 1,430,000 oz inferred, effective 25 July 2025, including a proven and probable reserve of 5.2 Moz at 0.94 g/t. The July 2025 feasibility study for a re-sized 15,000 t/d operation shows an after-tax NPV5% of US$1.1B and a 27.8% IRR at US$2,500/oz gold, with initial capital of US$425M, a 30-year mine life averaging 146,000 oz a year and an all-in sustaining cost of US$1,499/oz. The company targets the start of detailed engineering in 2027 and first production in late 2029.