JUNIORMETRICS

Theta Gold Mines Ltd.

TGMGF·TGM·3LM·US$0.13 (AUD 0.19)·US$169.3M cap
GoldTGME Gold Project, Pilgrim's Rest Goldfields, Mpumalanga Map

Theta Gold Mines (formerly Stonewall Resources, renamed December 2018; ticker unchanged) is constructing its TGME gold project in Mpumalanga, South Africa, targeting first gold pour in Q1 2027. Funding includes a US$90M senior secured bond (12.75% coupon, 4-year tenor) settled around mid-June 2026, plus an US$18.6M equity/option raise -- both post-date the company's last-confirmed Dec 31, 2025 cash balance of US$12.5M.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Financials score of 1/10 is weaker than the peer average of 6.6/10.
  • Jurisdiction risk score of 5/10 is meaningfully riskier than the peer average of 7.8/10.
  • All-in sustaining cost of $1,181/oz is 35% lower than the peer producer average of $1,814/oz.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
ConstructionCurrent
Production

Construction Milestones

3 of 5 reached
  1. Mar 2024 · Source
  2. Jun 2025 · Source
  3. Reached — date not disclosed
  4. Not yet reached
  5. Not yet reached

Milestones are recorded only from a company's own dated disclosure. A milestone with no date shown is one we can confirm was reached but for which no date was disclosed — we don't estimate one. "Not yet reached" means exactly that, not that a date is missing. An "Expected" line likewise only ever reflects the company's own guidance (e.g. a study or permit decision targeted for a stated quarter) — most not-yet-reached milestones have none, and that absence means no such guidance has been disclosed, not that one is overdue.

Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Road Access2 of 4 checked, 1 in place

Not in place: mill. Not yet determined: tailings facility, grid power.

6/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
6/10 vs.
1/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
1/10 vs.
How this is calculated
6/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
6/10 vs.
How this is calculated
5/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
5/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)5/10

    Eskom power-supply reliability and land-reform policy uncertainty in Mpumalanga, South Africa keep this below the top tier; scored 5 like the other Mpumalanga gold miners on this site (the Barberton operations).

  • Infrastructure (40%)5/10

    No confirmed mill and confirmed road access at TGME Gold Project, Pilgrim's Rest Goldfields, Mpumalanga; grid power and tailings facility not yet researched, counted at a neutral 5/10 until established.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)Not yet researched

    No producing mine within 50 km in our reference list (nearest listed: Booysendal (Northam Platinum Holdings Limited), 52 km). That list doesn't cover every mining district yet, so a longer distance isn't scored as remote.

4.5/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
4.5/10 vs.
Price Chart
$0.124$0.127$0.148$0.124$0.129AugDecAprJulOct
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$0.13
+24.4%from low-28.2%from high
$0.10$0.18
$169.3M
Far belowFar above
$169.3M vs. $585.3M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$0.13 (AUD 0.19)
Cash Position (USD)
$9M
Far belowFar above
$9M vs. $94M peer median
Debt (USD)
$90.5M
Far aboveFar below
$90.5M vs. $6.2M peer median
$250.8M
Far belowFar above
$250.8M vs. $505.2M peer median
1.3B
Far aboveFar below
1.3B vs. 316.1M peer median
Jurisdiction
South Africa
1,668,200 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Measured15,700 oz
Indicated1,652,500 oz
Inferrednot scored4,437,000 oz
Total resource6,105,200 oz
Far belowFar above
1.7M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$150.33/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$41.08/oz
Peer median $68.74/oz
Far aboveFar below
$150.33/oz vs. $131.46/oz peer median
0.0831 oz/tCut-off: Mineral Resource cut-offs (1 Feb 2021 MRE): underground 160 cm.g/t (1.76 g/t over a 90 cm stoping width); open pit 0.5 g/t and 0.35 g/t Au; tailings and rock dumps 0.35 g/t Au
Far belowFar above
0.0831 oz/t vs. 0.0379 oz/t peer median
Underground
13.1 yrs2026 study
Far belowFar above
13.1 yrs vs. 11.1 yrs peer median
$1,181/oz2026 study
@10%$455M2026 study · gold deck US$2,884 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
$455M vs. $603M peer median
0.50x2026 study · gold deck US$2,884 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.50x vs. 0.32x peer median
0.74x2026 study · gold deck US$2,884 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.74x vs. 0.29x peer median
$2,884/oz30% below spot ($4,114/oz)2026 study
77%Clears Durrett's 25% developer bar2026 study · gold deck US$2,884 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
77% vs. 43% peer median
45.2%
0%100%
45.2% vs. 12.1% peer median
52 kmfrom Northam Platinum Holdings Limited's Booysendal
Outside typical bolt-on range

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
6/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No producer holds a disclosed stake on file (holder register researched) See holders

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    4.9/10

    Nearest producing mine: Booysendal (Northam Platinum Holdings Limited), 52 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    7/10

    Stage: Construction

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    5/10

    South Africa: jurisdiction score 5/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
+80% since 2026-07-31 · -16.7% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

Executive Chairman of Theta Gold Mines Ltd., appointed March 2018. 28+ years in mineral exploration/resource development (Asia, Australia, Europe); former MD/CEO of Longford Resources and Bligh Resources; former Exploration Manager, Jupiter Mines (ASX:JMS).

Executive Director of Theta Gold Mines Ltd. 19+ years in mining/resources corporate finance; advises on strategy, project development, capital structuring; Managing Director, Vs Capital Group. Bachelor's, University of New South Wales (Business Economics and Finance).

Chief Operating Officer of Theta Gold Mines Ltd. 28+ years in South African mining across the full mine lifecycle; former General Manager at Harmony (2009-2015), led Doornkop South Reef deepening (~US$700M capex); founded contracting firm Qmotion Mining before rejoining Theta Gold.

Company Secretary and CFO of Theta Gold Mines Ltd. 20+ years in ASX-listed resource/energy company finance; Chartered Accountant; degrees from Griffith University and Queensland University of Technology.

Social Director, TGME (Theta Gold Mines' South African operating subsidiary). Admitted attorney (South Africa High Court, B Juris/LLB); specializes in socio-economic development/community engagement; clients have included Glencore and Gold One; former Administrator, Thaba Chweu Local Municipality.

Mine Manager, TGME (Theta Gold Mines' South African operating subsidiary), also known as Freddy Moketla. Career built at Harmony Gold in underground production management; Honors Degree in Mining and Environmental Geology, University of Venda.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money
1/10

No producer, major or resource-specialist fund is on the shareholder register, where several Hong Kong-linked holding entities appear, and there has been no open-market insider buying in the two-year record.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Theta Gold Mines holds 74% of the TGME gold project in the Pilgrim's Rest goldfields of Mpumalanga, South Africa, where it is building an underground operation and targeting a first gold pour in the first quarter of 2027. TGME holds 1,668,200 oz of gold in measured and indicated resources (15,700 oz measured and 1,652,500 oz indicated) plus 4,437,000 oz inferred, as at 1 February 2021, and the February 2026 revised feasibility study declared an ore reserve of 604,000 oz (3,895 kt at 4.82 g/t). That study shows a 77% after-tax IRR at US$2,884/oz gold over a 13.1-year mine life and an all-in sustaining cost of US$1,181/oz (AUD 1,787/oz). Construction is funded in part by a US$90M senior secured bond held in escrow and released in tranches, with a first drawdown of US$37M received on 10 September 2026, and processing-plant civil works were more than 50% complete.