JUNIORMETRICS

Nova Minerals Corp.

NVA·NVA·$3.13·$119.5M cap
GoldEstelle Gold-Antimony Project (RPM Deposit), Alaska Map

Nova Minerals is advancing the Estelle Gold and Critical Minerals Project, a 35 km mineralized corridor in Alaska hosting over 20 identified prospects with gold resources estimated at four deposits, RPM the primary one: 5.17 Moz Au under S-K 1300 (0.18 Moz Measured, 2.54 Moz Indicated and 2.45 Moz Inferred, effective 31 January 2024, 100% basis), of which Nova's 85% interest is about 4.41 Moz. The company completed a US redomiciliation in June 2026 (now NYSE American-listed as Nova Minerals Corp., with a continuing ASX listing) and commenced a fully funded 2026 exploration and development program, including up to 10,000 metres of drilling and antimony development across the Stibium and Styx targets, supported by more than A$85 million in funding including US Department of War backing.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Trading within 0% of its 52-week low — weak recent price momentum.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.Current
PEA
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
Production
Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
2 of 4 checked, 0 in place

Not in place: road access, grid power. Not yet determined: mill, tailings facility.

Not yet researched
Weak track recordStrong track record
6.7/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
6.7/10 vs.
How this is calculated
4.1/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
4.1/10 vs.
How this is calculated
5.5/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
5.5/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)9/10

    Alaska: Fraser PPI 2025 is 82.71 of 100 (rank 19 of 68), which maps to 9 on this site's scale. Alaska, USA — top-tier US mining jurisdiction; the underlying project risk is unchanged by the company's June 2026 corporate redomiciliation from Australia to the United States.

  • Infrastructure (40%)2.1/10

    No confirmed road access and no confirmed grid power at Estelle Gold-Antimony Project (RPM Deposit), Alaska; existing mill and tailings facility not yet researched, counted at a neutral 5/10 until established.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)Not yet researched

    No producing mine within 50 km in our reference list (nearest listed: Fort Knox (Kinross Gold Corporation), 445 km). That list doesn't cover every mining district yet, so a longer distance isn't scored as remote.

5.3/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
5.3/10 vs.
Price Chart
$2.43$9.27$5.77$4.59$3.17AugDecAprJulOct
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$3.13
+1.6%from low-80.8%from high
$3.08$16.28
See who ↓
0%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
0% vs.
See who ↓
44%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
44% vs.
$119.5M
Far belowFar above
$119.5M vs. $21.9M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
$3.13
Cash Position (USD)
$41.3M
Far belowFar above
$41.3M vs. $3.3M peer median
Debt (USD)
$4.3M
Far aboveFar below
$4.3M vs. $0 peer median
$82.5M
Far belowFar above
$82.5M vs. $19.4M peer median
38.2M
Far aboveFar below
38.2M vs. 154.2M peer median
Jurisdiction
United States
2,720,000 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Measured180,000 oz
Indicated2,540,000 oz
Inferrednot scored2,450,000 oz
Total resource5,170,000 oz
Far belowFar above
2.7M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$30.32/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$15.95/oz
Peer median $68.74/oz
Far aboveFar below
$30.32/oz vs. $132.67/oz peer median
0.0101 oz/tCut-off: 0.20 g/t Au (RPM North/South) and 0.15 g/t Au (Korbel Main, Cathedral), within US$2,000/oz optimized pit shells (S-K 1300 MRE effective 31 Jan 2024)
Far belowFar above
0.0101 oz/t vs. 0.0383 oz/t peer median
0%
0%100%
0% vs. 12.1% peer median
44%
0%100%
44% vs. 3.3% peer median
445 kmfrom Kinross Gold Corporation's Fort Knox
Outside typical bolt-on range

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
3.2/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No producer holds a disclosed stake on file (holder register researched) See holders

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    0/10

    Nearest producing mine: Fort Knox (Kinross Gold Corporation), 445 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    3.5/10

    Stage: Resource Definition

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    9/10

    United States: jurisdiction score 9/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-41.1% since 2026-08-01 · -43% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

Executive Director and CEO of Nova Minerals Corp. 30+ years managing/advancing resource projects from greenfields through development into production, across North America, Australia and Asia.

Chief Financial Officer of Nova Minerals Corp. 20+ years senior finance leadership in mining, public and private; expertise in SEC, TSX and ASX reporting, financial reporting, audit, compliance and governance.

Director of Finance and Compliance at Nova Minerals Corp. 30+ years commercial/finance experience in multinational private enterprises; prior auditor at Ernst & Young.

General Manager and Geologist at Nova Minerals Corp. Certified Professional Geologist; 20 years developing/managing geotechnical engineering and mineral exploration projects, primarily Alaska.

Company Secretary of Nova Minerals Corp. 30+ years across finance, commercial and company-secretarial roles in multiple industries.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money
1/10

We checked and found no evidence of informed capital taking a position. Institutional ownership reads 44%, but every named holder on the register is a market maker, a quantitative trading firm or a brokerage/custody line -- Marshall Wace, Morgan Stanley brokerage accounts, Jane Street, Susquehanna, Millennium, Engineers Gate, Rhumbline. None of them is a resource specialist, no producer holds a stake, and there are no insider purchases on record. A 1 here means checked-and-nothing-found, not that anything is wrong with the company.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Nova Minerals holds 85% of the Estelle gold and critical minerals project in Alaska, a 35 km mineralized corridor with more than 20 identified prospects, and redomiciled to the United States in June 2026, listing on the NYSE American while keeping an ASX listing. Under its S-K 1300 estimate, effective 31 January 2024, Estelle holds 2,720,000 oz of gold in measured and indicated resources (180,000 oz measured and 2,540,000 oz indicated) on a 100% basis, plus 2,450,000 oz inferred, across the RPM, Korbel Main and Cathedral deposits. The 2026 programme includes up to 10,000 m of drilling at RPM as resource-definition work toward a feasibility study. Nova is also developing antimony at Estelle with a US$43.4M award under the US Defense Production Act, and processing equipment arrived at Port MacKenzie in September 2026 ahead of pilot-scale antimony production targeted for late 2026 to early 2027.