JUNIORMETRICS

Northern Star Resources Ltd

NESRF·NST·US$17.71 (AUD 25.24)·US$25.1B cap
GoldKCGM (Kalgoorlie Consolidated Gold Mines / Super Pit), Western Australia (plus Yandal, WA; Pogo, Alaska, USA; and the Hemi development project, Pilbara, WA) Map

Northern Star Resources is a large ASX-listed multi-site gold producer operating three production hubs -- KCGM (the historic Kalgoorlie "Super Pit", WA), Yandal (WA), and Pogo (Alaska, USA) -- plus the Hemi development project (Pilbara, WA), acquired via the May 2025 Scheme of Arrangement acquisition of De Grey Mining. FY26 (year ended 30 June 2026) gold sold was 1,543koz across the three producing hubs (Yandal 434koz vs >420koz guidance, Pogo 265koz vs >250koz guidance), at a group AISC of A$2,698/oz. The company ended FY26 with unaudited cash and bullion of A$1,255M and no corporate bank debt, while continuing an A$500M on-market share buyback. KCGM's Fimiston Mill Expansion (A$1.5B, capacity 13Mtpa to 27-37Mtpa) remains under construction, targeting commissioning in early FY27. Group Mineral Resources grew 26% to 88.9Moz and Ore Reserves 27% to 28.4Moz as at 31 March 2026 (up from 70.7Moz/22.3Moz a year earlier), the increase driven substantially by Hemi's first inclusion in the group resource statement (11.2Moz resources / 6.0Moz reserves). Hemi's timeline has slipped -- a Final Investment Decision remains pending (subject to environmental approvals and project debt financing) and FY26 capex on Hemi (A$104M) came in well below the A$165-175M guided, pushing expected first production toward 2027. A leadership transition is underway: Glencore executive Suresh Vadnagra was named as incoming CEO, effective 5 Oct 2026, succeeding Stuart Tonkin, and CFO Ryan Gurner was appointed deputy CEO to bridge the interim period. Chairman Michael Chaney is also expected to be succeeded by Michael Ashforth.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
ProductionCurrent

Construction Milestones

5 of 5 reached
  1. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  2. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  3. Jan 1989 · Source
  4. Jan 1989 · Source
  5. Reached — date not disclosed · Source

Milestones are recorded only from a company's own dated disclosure. A milestone with no date shown is one we can confirm was reached but for which no date was disclosed — we don't estimate one. "Not yet reached" means exactly that, not that a date is missing. An "Expected" line likewise only ever reflects the company's own guidance (e.g. a study or permit decision targeted for a stated quarter) — most not-yet-reached milestones have none, and that absence means no such guidance has been disclosed, not that one is overdue.

Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
KCGM (Kalgoorlie Consolidated Gold Mines)
Existing MillTailings FacilityRoad AccessGrid Power10/10 built out
Yandal
Existing MillTailings FacilityRoad Access7.1/10 built out

Not in place: grid power.

Pogo
Existing MillTailings FacilityRoad Access3 of 4 checked, 3 in place

Not yet determined: grid power.

Hemi
3 of 4 checked, 0 in place

Not in place: mill, tailings facility, grid power. Not yet determined: road access.

Combined view across 4 projects. Figures below are only combined where the underlying basis genuinely matches -- see the notes under each.

Combined resource
15.4M oz Au
Sum of 2 of 4 projects with a disclosed figure; others not yet researched
IRR, per project
  • 19%KCGM (Kalgoorlie Consolidated Gold Mines)
  • 36%Hemi
Each project's own figure -- IRR is not additive across independent projects, so these are never combined
Mine life, per project
  • 20 yrsKCGM (Kalgoorlie Consolidated Gold Mines)
  • 10 yrsHemi
Each project's own figure -- independent mine lives are never added or averaged
Combined NPV, by discount-rate basis
$2B
At 5% discount rate -- Hemi
5.2/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
5.2/10 vs.
5.6/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
5.6/10 vs.
How this is calculated
5.7/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
5.7/10 vs.
How this is calculated
9.6/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
9.6/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)9/10

    Western Australia: Fraser PPI 2025 is 88.53 of 100 (rank 13 of 68), which maps to 9 on this site's scale. Core operations in Western Australia (KCGM/Kalgoorlie, Yandal, and the Hemi development project) plus Pogo in Alaska, USA -- Tier-1 mining jurisdictions throughout.

  • Infrastructure (40%)10/10

    A confirmed mill, confirmed road access, confirmed grid power, and a confirmed tailings facility at KCGM (Kalgoorlie Consolidated Gold Mines).

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)10/10

    Binduli North (Janet Ivy) (Norton Gold Fields Pty Ltd) is 13 km away -- within shared-mill trucking range.

6.5/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
6.5/10 vs.
Price Chart
$12.41$19.14$14.37$14.07$17.22AugDecMarJulOct2
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$17.71
+50.7%from low-18.8%from high
$11.75$21.82
See who ↓
3.7%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
3.7% vs.
See who ↓
61.5%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
61.5% vs.
$25.1B
Far belowFar above
$25.1B vs. $541.2M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$17.71 (AUD 25.24)
Cash Position (USD)
$704.4M
Far belowFar above
$704.4M vs. $91.1M peer median
Debt (USD)
$600M
Far aboveFar below
$600M vs. $6.2M peer median
$25B
Far belowFar above
$25B vs. $457.8M peer median
1.4B
Far aboveFar below
1.4B vs. 316.1M peer median
Jurisdiction
Australia
53,189,000 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Measured5,629,000 oz
Indicated47,560,000 oz
Inferrednot scored35,683,000 oz
Total resource88,872,000 oz
Far belowFar above
53.2M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$470.84/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$281.79/oz
Peer median $67.95/oz
Far aboveFar below
$470.84/oz vs. $132.92/oz peer median
0.0468 oz/t
Far belowFar above
0.0468 oz/t vs. 0.0379 oz/t peer median
Open pit and underground
See projects ↓
$1,897/oz
See projects ↓
See projects ↓
See projects ↓
See projects ↓
3.7%
0%100%
3.7% vs. 12.1% peer median
61.5%
0%100%
61.5% vs. 3.3% peer median
13 kmfrom Norton Gold Fields Pty Ltd (Zijin Mining Group)'s Binduli North (Janet Ivy)
Within shared-mill range (~20km)

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
7.9/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not yet researched

    Holder register not researched yet

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    8.7/10

    Nearest producing mine: Binduli North (Janet Ivy) (Norton Gold Fields Pty Ltd), 13 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    5.5/10

    Stage: Production

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    9/10

    Australia: jurisdiction score 9/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-14.5% since 2026-08-08 · -20.7% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
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CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
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Management Team

Chief Financial Officer of Northern Star Resources Ltd since Dec 2021 (re-appointment; previously CFO pre-merger with Saracen Minerals Holdings), appointed Deputy CEO 2 Jul 2026 and Interim CEO ~20 Jul 2026 following Stuart Tonkin's departure, serving until incoming CEO Suresh Vadnagra's 5 Oct 2026 start. A Chartered Accountant with 20+ years of financial experience across Australia, Asia and Europe; before Northern Star, CFO and Company Secretary of RTG Mining Limited, and earlier senior financial roles at Sakari Resources Limited, Mincor Resources Limited, and PwC (Perth and London).

Chairman of Northern Star Resources Ltd since 2021. Also Chairman of Wesfarmers Limited; previously Chairman of Woodside Petroleum Limited (retired April 2018) and National Australia Bank. Worked for eight years as a petroleum geologist in Australia and the USA before moving into corporate leadership.

Chief Operating Officer of Northern Star Resources Ltd since 2021. Mining engineer with over 30 years' technical and operational experience covering underground and open-pit operations; previously Chief Operating Officer at Saracen Mineral Holdings and held numerous General Manager roles at Evolution Mining. Bachelor of Engineering (Mining) and Bachelor of Science (Mine and Engineering Surveying), WA School of Mines.

Non-Executive Director of Northern Star Resources Ltd since 2019. Mining engineer with senior operational and executive roles in Australia and overseas over a 35+ year period, including Director of Operations at Fortescue Metals Group and Director of Operations for Barrick (Australia Pacific) Pty Ltd.

Managing Director of DevEx Resources Limited, joined 1 December 2025; also a non-executive director of Northern Star Resources Ltd. BEng (Minerals Engineering Hons). Minerals processing engineer with 17 years at Rio Tinto, most recently Managing Director of Battery Materials, overseeing operations across multiple continents.

Chief Legal Officer and Company Secretary of Northern Star Resources Ltd since 2016. Lawyer with over 30 years' experience in private practice and industry with a focus on corporate and mining law; graduate of Bristol University, England, qualified as a solicitor in London and admitted to courts in England and Western Australia.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money

Not scored. Smart-money tracking covers companies below about US$5B in market cap, where a single specialist fund or strategic investor taking a stake is a meaningful signal. This company was above that size when it was assessed.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Northern Star operates the Kalgoorlie Super Pit (KCGM) and Yandal in Western Australia and Pogo in Alaska, and is developing the Hemi project in the Pilbara. It reports resources inclusive of reserves: measured and indicated resources of 53.2 Moz (5.63 Moz measured, 47.56 Moz indicated) already contain its 28.4 Moz reserve. Including inferred, the group resource is 88.9 Moz.