JUNIORMETRICS

Lake Victoria Gold Ltd.

LVGLF·LVG·E1K·US$0.26 (CAD 0.37)·US$52.5M cap
GoldImwelo Gold Project, Geita Greenstone Belt Map

Lake Victoria Gold (renamed from Tembo Gold Corp in December 2023) holds 100% of two gold projects in Tanzania. At the fully permitted Imwelo Gold Project in the Geita Greenstone Belt, west of AngloGold Ashanti's Geita mine, it began Phase 1 earthworks in July 2026 and targets gold production in 2027, but it has not made a construction decision, its gold loan of up to 6,000 oz (about US$25M) with Monetary Metals has not closed, and it says the 2021 Imwelo pre-feasibility study and historical resource are not current. Its current resource is at the Tembo project next to Barrick's Bulyanhulu mine: a maiden NI 43-101 estimate, announced in August 2026, of 99,700 oz of gold Indicated plus 480,100 oz Inferred. Tanzania's statutory 16% free carried interest has not yet been put in place at either project.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Financials score of 2.2/10 is weaker than the peer average of 5.3/10.
  • Jurisdiction risk score of 6/10 is meaningfully riskier than the peer average of 7.8/10.
  • Trading within 6% of its 52-week high — strong recent price momentum.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.Current
PEA
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
Production

Construction Milestones

2 of 5 reached
  1. Reached — date not disclosed
  2. Not yet reached
  3. Reached — date not disclosed
  4. Not yet reached
  5. Not yet reached

Milestones are recorded only from a company's own dated disclosure. A milestone with no date shown is one we can confirm was reached but for which no date was disclosed — we don't estimate one. "Not yet reached" means exactly that, not that a date is missing. An "Expected" line likewise only ever reflects the company's own guidance (e.g. a study or permit decision targeted for a stated quarter) — most not-yet-reached milestones have none, and that absence means no such guidance has been disclosed, not that one is overdue.

Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Imwelo Gold Project, Geita Greenstone Belt
Road Access3 of 4 checked, 1 in place

Not in place: mill, tailings facility. Not yet determined: grid power.

Combined view across 2 projects. Figures below are only combined where the underlying basis genuinely matches -- see the notes under each.

Combined resource
99.7K oz Au
Sum of 1 of 2 projects with a disclosed figure; others not yet researched
IRR, per project
—
No project has a disclosed IRR yet
Mine life, per project
—
No project has a disclosed mine life yet
Not yet researched
Weak track recordStrong track record
2.2/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
2.2/10 vs.
How this is calculated
3.8/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
3.8/10 vs.
How this is calculated
6.1/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
6.1/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)6/10

    Tanzania's investment climate and government relations have improved markedly in recent years (compare to the Acacia/Barrick nationalization disputes of 2017-2020), but resource-nationalism history and evolving local-ownership requirements keep it mid-tier rather than top-tier.

  • Infrastructure (40%)4.3/10

    No confirmed mill, confirmed road access, and no confirmed tailings facility at Imwelo Gold Project, Geita Greenstone Belt; grid power not yet researched, counted at a neutral 5/10 until established.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)10/10

    Geita (AngloGold Ashanti plc) is 8 km away -- within shared-mill trucking range.

4.3/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
4.3/10 vs.
Price Chart
$0.133$0.133$0.226$0.183$0.249AugDecAprJulOct2
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
Stage changeNews
$0.26
+134.3%from low-3.3%from high
$0.11$0.27
See who ↓
28%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
28% vs.
See who ↓
15%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
15% vs.
$52.5M
Far belowFar above
$52.5M vs. $21.9M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$0.26 (CAD 0.37)
Cash Position (USD)
$2.3M
Far belowFar above
$2.3M vs. $3.4M peer median
Debt (USD)
$2.2M
Far aboveFar below
$2.2M vs. $0 peer median
$52.4M
Far belowFar above
$52.4M vs. $19.4M peer median
199.6M
Far aboveFar below
199.6M vs. 153.6M peer median
Jurisdiction
Tanzania
99,700 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Indicated99,700 oz
Inferrednot scored480,100 oz
Total resource579,800 oz
Far belowFar above
99.7K oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$525.14/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$90.30/oz
Peer median $67.76/oz
Far aboveFar below
$525.14/oz vs. $131.46/oz peer median
0.0338 oz/tCut-off: 0.25 g/t Au (within conceptual open-pit shells; Tembo, May 2026)
Far belowFar above
0.0338 oz/t vs. 0.0383 oz/t peer median
Open pit
28%
0%100%
28% vs. 12.1% peer median
15%
0%100%
15% vs. 3.3% peer median
8 kmfrom AngloGold Ashanti plc's Geita
Within shared-mill range (~20km)
-$5.8M
Far belowFar above
-$5.8M vs. -$3.3M peer median
-$0.029
Far belowFar above
-$0.029 vs. -$0.018 peer median

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
7.1/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No producer holds a disclosed stake on file (holder register researched) See holders

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    9.2/10

    Nearest producing mine: Geita (AngloGold Ashanti plc), 8 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    3.5/10

    Stage: Resource Definition

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    6/10

    Tanzania: jurisdiction score 6/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-28.3% since 2026-08-01 · -28.3% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

Chief Executive Officer and Director of Lake Victoria Gold Ltd. Economist from McGill University specializing in corporate development and financing of commodity and energy technology companies.

Executive Chairman and Chief Financial Officer of Lake Victoria Gold Ltd. Former Vice President at Merrill Lynch and Managing Director at BMO Capital Markets, focusing on commodities.

Chief Operating Officer and Director of Lake Victoria Gold Ltd. Mining engineer with 30 years' experience in mine construction and operation, responsible for feasibility studies, project management, and construction execution.

Director and Managing Director, Tanzania for Lake Victoria Gold Ltd. 40+ years' experience including with Barrick Gold (Bulyanhulu Mine) and Shanta Gold, with outstanding knowledge of Tanzanian geology and mining regulations.

Acting Chief Financial Officer, Tanzania for Lake Victoria Gold Ltd. Mining-sector finance experience spanning mine-level financial control, statutory reporting, budgeting, tax compliance, and board-level reporting; prior senior roles at Williamson Diamonds and Stamigold.

Compliance Officer at Lake Victoria Gold Ltd., supporting the company's Tanzania regulatory and compliance functions.

Exploration Manager at Lake Victoria Gold Ltd. 32 years of international exploration experience, including with Ivanhoe Mines, Endeavour Mining, and Barrick Exploration.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money
4/10

Two strategic corporates are on this register for real reasons. Barrick Gold put in about C$1.5 million of cash equity for roughly 6% alongside a Tembo partnership worth up to US$60 million — US$6 million paid up front, US$9 million committed to exploration and up to US$45 million in resource milestones — though that equity figure dates from April 2022 and has certainly been diluted since. More current is Taifa Group, the Tanzanian mining and civils contractor owned by Rostam Aziz, which is subscribing C$11,520,000 for 48 million shares in three stages and takes a board seat. Two discretionary managers, AIMS Asset Management at 9.5% and Concept Capital at 5.71%, sit behind them, and chairman Simon Benstead bought 703,300 shares on the open market in October 2025.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Lake Victoria Gold, renamed from Tembo Gold in December 2023, is preparing to build the fully permitted Imwelo gold project in Tanzania's Geita Greenstone Belt, west of AngloGold's Geita mine, where Phase 1 earthworks began in July 2026 with gold production targeted for 2027. The company has not completed a feasibility study establishing mineral reserves at Imwelo, so a production decision would not rest on one, and no formal construction decision had been announced by September 2026. Steps toward construction include a Monetary Metals gold loan of up to 6,000 oz (about US$25M, repayable in gold), the final tranche of a convertible-debenture financing, closed on 2 July 2026, and an EPCM team of City Engineering Company and Sutton Consulting International, approved by the Mining Commission on 29 June 2026. The company also holds the earlier-stage Tembo project next to Barrick's Bulyanhulu mine, where it announced a maiden mineral resource in August 2026.

Recent News

Balance SheetGoldMiningShare PriceShareholderSplitUndervaluedValuation