JUNIORMETRICS

Horizon Gold Limited

HRN·US$0.79 (AUD 1.13)·US$153.8M cap
GoldGum Creek Gold Project, Western Australia Map

Horizon Gold's 100%-owned Gum Creek Gold Project in Western Australia has a completed Definitive Feasibility Study outlining a production target of 880,000 ounces of gold over a 10-year mine life at an all-in sustaining cost of roughly A$2,995/oz, with first gold scheduled for H2 2028.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
FeasibilityCurrent
Permitting
Construction
Production
Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Tailings FacilityRoad Access4.3/10 built out

Not in place: mill, grid power.

5.1/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
5.1/10 vs.
5.9/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
5.9/10 vs.
How this is calculated
4.4/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
4.4/10 vs.
How this is calculated
6.3/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
6.3/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)9/10

    Western Australia: Fraser PPI 2025 is 88.53 of 100 (rank 13 of 68), which maps to 9 on this site's scale. Western Australia, Australia — top-tier, low political-risk mining jurisdiction.

  • Infrastructure (40%)4.3/10

    No confirmed mill, confirmed road access, no confirmed grid power, and a confirmed tailings facility at Gum Creek Gold Project, Western Australia.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)Not yet researched

    No producing mine within 50 km in our reference list (nearest listed: Wiluna (Wiluna Mining Corporation Limited), 108 km). That list doesn't cover every mining district yet, so a longer distance isn't scored as remote.

5.4/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
5.4/10 vs.
Price Chart
$0.339$0.568$0.904$0.678$0.815AugDecAprJulOct
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$0.79
+83.5%from low-30.7%from high
$0.43$1.14
See who ↓
4.4%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
4.4% vs.
See who ↓
11.2%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
11.2% vs.
$153.8M
Far belowFar above
$153.8M vs. $21.9M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$0.79 (AUD 1.13)
Cash Position (USD)
$16.6M
Far belowFar above
$16.6M vs. $3.3M peer median
Debt (USD)
Far aboveFar below
$0 vs. $0 peer median
$137.1M
Far belowFar above
$137.1M vs. $19.4M peer median
194.8M
Far aboveFar below
194.8M vs. 153.6M peer median
Jurisdiction
Australia
1,630,000 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Indicated1,630,000 oz
Inferrednot scored670,000 oz
Total resource2,300,000 oz
Far belowFar above
1.6M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$84.12/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$59.61/oz
Peer median $68.74/oz
Far aboveFar below
$84.12/oz vs. $132.67/oz peer median
0.0553 oz/t
Far belowFar above
0.0553 oz/t vs. 0.0379 oz/t peer median
Open pit
10 yrs2026 study
Far belowFar above
10 yrs vs. 11.1 yrs peer median
$2,097/oz2026 study
@5%$625.8M2026 study · gold deck US$3,850 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
$625.8M vs. $602M peer median
0.25x2026 study · gold deck US$3,850 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.25x vs. 0.32x peer median
0.22x2026 study · gold deck US$3,850 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.22x vs. 0.30x peer median
$245.3M2026 study
Far aboveFar below
$245.3M vs. $293.2M peer median
2.6xClears Durrett's 2:1 bar2026 study · gold deck US$3,850 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
2.6x vs. 2.3x peer median
$3,850/oz6% below spot ($4,114/oz)2026 study
42%Clears Durrett's 25% developer bar2026 study · gold deck US$3,850 vs spot US$4,114/oz
Far belowFar above
42% vs. 43% peer median
4.4%
0%100%
4.4% vs. 12.1% peer median
11.2%
0%100%
11.2% vs. 3.3% peer median
108 kmfrom Wiluna Mining Corporation Limited's Wiluna
Outside typical bolt-on range
-$10.8M
Far belowFar above
-$10.8M vs. -$3.3M peer median
-$0.056
Far belowFar above
-$0.056 vs. -$0.018 peer median

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
6.7/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    Zeta Resources Limited holds 65.1% (reported 30 Jun 2026) See holders

    Already majority-controlled, so a sale is its controlling holder's decision; the toehold-then-takeout pattern this input measures doesn't apply.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    3.1/10

    Nearest producing mine: Wiluna (Wiluna Mining Corporation Limited), 108 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Stage: Feasibility Study

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    9/10

    Australia: jurisdiction score 9/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-3.6% since 2026-07-30 · -16.9% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director of Horizon Gold Limited, effective February 2, 2026; also a non-executive director of Leeuwin Metals Ltd. Mining engineer with 20+ years of technical/corporate experience in gold, base metals and nickel across Australia, Africa and Southeast Asia; most recently Managing Director of Blackstone Minerals leading nickel sulphide ventures.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money
3/10

Horizon Gold is a controlled subsidiary of Zeta Resources Limited, which held 65.10% at 30 June 2026 per Horizon's own annual report -- a controlling shareholder's block, not management's own stake. Zeta is an unlisted Bermuda investment holding company whose ultimate parent is UIL Limited. Zeta is an investor rather than an operating miner, so its control block is a weaker signal than a producer taking a stake would be. Alongside it, Konwave AG -- a Swiss manager that runs dedicated gold-equity funds and is a genuine specialist rather than an index vehicle -- disclosed 5,097,037 shares, about 3.5%, in an ASX filing dated 11 September 2025. No insider purchases are on record.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Horizon Gold owns 100% of the Gum Creek gold project in Western Australia, where indicated resources total 1,630,000 oz of gold (26.72 Mt at 1.90 g/t), with no measured category, plus 670,000 oz inferred, in an estimate released in November 2025. The July 2026 definitive feasibility study shows a post-tax NPV5% of US$625.8M (AUD 894M) and a 41.7% IRR at a gold price of US$3,850/oz (AUD 5,500/oz), with pre-production capital of US$245.3M (AUD 350.4M), a 10-year mine life producing 880,000 oz of gold and an all-in sustaining cost of US$2,097/oz (AUD 2,995/oz). The study is based on a maiden open-pit probable reserve of 18.2 Mt at 1.24 g/t for 728,400 oz, and first gold is scheduled for the second half of 2028.

AI take

Horizon Gold's Definitive Feasibility Study for the 100%-owned Gum Creek Gold Project (open-pit) outlines a maiden ore reserve of 18.2Mt at 1.24g/t for 728,000oz, supporting a 10-year mine life with 880,000oz of total recovered gold (98,000oz/yr average over the first 5 years). At an A$5,500/oz gold price assumption: pre-tax NPV5 of A$1,307m, pre-tax IRR of 53.1%, pre-tax free cash flow of A$1.85B, AISC of A$2,995/oz, pre-production capex of A$350m, and a 23-month payback from first production. First gold targeted H2 2028.