JUNIORMETRICS

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

HMY·HARJSE·$16.72·$10.6B cap
Goldalso:Multi-mine operator -- see Projects tab (Mponeng, Moab Khotsong, Hidden Valley, Eva Copper) Map

Harmony Gold is South Africa's largest gold producer and one of the world's deepest-mining companies, operating a portfolio of underground mines on the Witwatersrand Basin (including Mponeng, the world's deepest gold mine) plus the Hidden Valley open-pit gold-silver mine in Papua New Guinea, and is developing the Eva Copper project in Queensland, Australia as its entry into copper. FY2026 guidance targets 1.4-1.5 Moz of gold production.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Jurisdiction risk score of 5/10 is meaningfully riskier than the peer average of 7.8/10.
  • Financials score of 4.8/10 is weaker than the peer average of 6.5/10.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
ProductionCurrent

Construction Milestones

5 of 5 reached
  1. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  2. Nov 2025 · Source
  3. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  4. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  5. Reached — date not disclosed · Source

Milestones are recorded only from a company's own dated disclosure. A milestone with no date shown is one we can confirm was reached but for which no date was disclosed — we don't estimate one. "Not yet reached" means exactly that, not that a date is missing. An "Expected" line likewise only ever reflects the company's own guidance (e.g. a study or permit decision targeted for a stated quarter) — most not-yet-reached milestones have none, and that absence means no such guidance has been disclosed, not that one is overdue.

Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Mponeng
Existing MillTailings FacilityRoad AccessGrid Power10/10 built out
Moab Khotsong
Existing MillTailings FacilityRoad AccessGrid Power10/10 built out
Hidden Valley
Existing MillTailings FacilityRoad AccessGrid Power10/10 built out
Eva Copper
0/10 built out

Not in place: mill, tailings facility, road access, grid power.

Combined view across 4 projects. Figures below are only combined where the underlying basis genuinely matches -- see the notes under each.

Combined resource
—
No project has a disclosed resource figure yet
IRR, per project
  • 11%Eva Copper
Each project's own figure -- IRR is not additive across independent projects, so these are never combined
Mine life, per project
  • 20 yrsMponeng
  • 20 yrsMoab Khotsong
  • 5 yrsHidden Valley
  • 15 yrsEva Copper
Each project's own figure -- independent mine lives are never added or averaged
Combined NPV, by discount-rate basis
$375.6M
At 9% discount rate -- Moab Khotsong + Hidden Valley
Sum of 2 studies dated 2022-2024 on different price decks -- see each project
$302.6M
At rate not disclosed discount rate -- Eva Copper

Shown as separate totals, not summed together: these projects' studies used different discount rates, so a single combined NPV would not be a real number.

4.7/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
4.7/10 vs.
4.8/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
4.8/10 vs.
How this is calculated
5.7/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
5.7/10 vs.
How this is calculated
8/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
8/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)5/10

    South Africa carries elevated mining-policy, labour, and electricity-supply risk relative to Tier-1 jurisdictions, though the regulatory framework is established and the company has operated there for decades. Harmony also diversifies via Hidden Valley (Papua New Guinea -- meaningfully higher jurisdiction risk) and the Eva Copper development (Australia -- Tier-1).

  • Infrastructure (40%)10/10

    A confirmed mill, confirmed road access, confirmed grid power, and a confirmed tailings facility at Mponeng.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)10/10

    Driefontein / Kloof (Sibanye-Stillwater Limited) is 8 km away -- within shared-mill trucking range.

5.8/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
5.8/10 vs.
Price Chart
$15.51$19.14$15.37$15.87$16.73AugDecMarJulOct2222
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$16.72
+34.5%from low-32.8%from high
$12.43$24.87
See who ↓
0%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
0% vs.
See who ↓
19.5%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
19.5% vs.
$10.6B
Far belowFar above
$10.6B vs. $541.4M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
$16.72
Cash Position (USD)
$431.6M
Far belowFar above
$431.6M vs. $91.1M peer median
Debt (USD)
$780.7M
Far aboveFar below
$780.7M vs. $6.2M peer median
$10.9B
Far belowFar above
$10.9B vs. $457.7M peer median
631.4M
Far aboveFar below
631.4M vs. 316.1M peer median
Jurisdiction
South Africa
75,149,000 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Measured23,509,000 oz
Indicated51,640,000 oz
Inferrednot scored31,635,000 oz
Total resource106,784,000 oz
Far belowFar above
75.1M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$145.12/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$102.13/oz
Peer median $67.95/oz
Far aboveFar below
$145.12/oz vs. $133.79/oz peer median
Underground (plus surface tailings retreatment at Mine Waste Solutions; Hidden Valley and Eva Copper are open pit)
See projects ↓
$2,164/oz
See projects ↓
See projects ↓
See projects ↓
See projects ↓
0%
0%100%
0% vs. 12.1% peer median
19.5%
0%100%
19.5% vs. 3.3% peer median
8 kmfrom Sibanye-Stillwater Limited's Driefontein / Kloof
Within shared-mill range (~20km)
$864.9M
Far belowFar above
$864.9M vs. $524.2M peer median
$1.37
Far belowFar above
$1.37 vs. $2.11 peer median

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
7.5/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not yet researched

    Holder register not researched yet

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    9.2/10

    Nearest producing mine: Driefontein / Kloof (Sibanye-Stillwater Limited), 8 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    5.5/10

    Stage: Production

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    5/10

    South Africa: jurisdiction score 5/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
+45% since 2026-08-08 · -13.4% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

Group Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director of Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited since 1 Jan 2025 -- his entire documented senior career has been built inside Harmony since joining via the 2003 merger with African Rainbow Minerals Gold (Chief Operating Officer of the South African operations from Mar 2016; Group Chief Operating Officer from Feb 2023). Mining engineering degree, University of Pretoria; MBA, University of Chicago Booth School of Business.

Financial Director of Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited since 3 Mar 2020 (joined as CFO in 2017). Before Harmony, CFO of Atlatsa Resources Corporation (Sep 2014-2017, a difficult period for Atlatsa's Bokoni Mine amid depressed PGM pricing and a 2016-2017 debt restructuring) and Financial Manager of Northam Platinum Limited (~2 years, to 2014). Independent non-executive director of African Rainbow Capital and UBI General Partner; formerly of Trans Hex Group (5 years). CA(SA).

Chairman of Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited.

Independent Non-Executive Director of Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited, appointed with effect from 17 January 2025.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money

Not scored. Smart-money tracking covers companies below about US$5B in market cap, where a single specialist fund or strategic investor taking a stake is a meaningful signal. This company was above that size when it was assessed.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Harmony Gold operates deep underground gold mines on South Africa's Witwatersrand Basin, including Mponeng (the world's deepest gold mine) and Moab Khotsong, and the Hidden Valley gold-silver mine in Papua New Guinea, and is developing the Eva Copper project in Queensland. In February 2024 Harmony approved a ZAR7.9bn (about US$409M) life extension at Mponeng, taking its mine life to roughly 2044 at about 260,000 oz a year; Moab Khotsong is being extended on a similar basis at about 200,000 oz a year. No NPV or IRR has been published for either project.

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