JUNIORMETRICS

Fresnillo plc

FRES·FRESBMV·US$35.97 (GBP 26.89)·US$26.5B cap
Silveralso:Fresnillo Silver Mine, Zacatecas, Mexico Map

Fresnillo plc is the world's largest primary silver producer and Mexico's second-largest gold miner, London-listed (LSE:FRES) with all 7 of its mines in Mexico: the flagship Fresnillo underground silver mine, Saucito (an adjacent underground silver mine), Ciénega, Herradura (open-pit gold), Noche Buena, Juanicipio (a high-grade silver-gold JV with MAG Silver/Pan American Silver) and San Julián. CEO is Octavio Alvídrez; CFO is Mario Arreguín. H1 2026 revenue rose 74.7% YoY to $3.4B on elevated silver and gold prices, with free cash flow of $1,257M against operating cash flow of $1,493M; silver sales volumes of 23.4 Moz exceeded H1 production of 22 Moz, while H1 gold production of 290.9 koz fell 7.3% YoY. AISC rose 48.3% YoY, driven by higher cash costs and increased sustaining and capitalized development capex.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
ProductionCurrent

Construction Milestones

5 of 5 reached
  1. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  2. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  3. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  4. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  5. Reached — date not disclosed · Source

Milestones are recorded only from a company's own dated disclosure. A milestone with no date shown is one we can confirm was reached but for which no date was disclosed — we don't estimate one. "Not yet reached" means exactly that, not that a date is missing. An "Expected" line likewise only ever reflects the company's own guidance (e.g. a study or permit decision targeted for a stated quarter) — most not-yet-reached milestones have none, and that absence means no such guidance has been disclosed, not that one is overdue.

Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Fresnillo Mine
Existing MillTailings FacilityRoad Access3 of 4 checked, 3 in place

Not yet determined: grid power.

Novador Gold Project, Val-d'Or, Quebec
2 of 4 checked, 0 in place

Not in place: mill, tailings facility. Not yet determined: road access, grid power.

Combined view across 2 projects. Figures below are only combined where the underlying basis genuinely matches -- see the notes under each.

Combined resource
6.4M oz Au
Sum of 1 of 2 projects with a disclosed figure; others not yet researched
IRR, per project
  • 24.4%Novador Gold Project, Val-d'Or, Quebec
Each project's own figure -- IRR is not additive across independent projects, so these are never combined
Mine life, per project
  • 12.6 yrsNovador Gold Project, Val-d'Or, Quebec
Each project's own figure -- independent mine lives are never added or averaged
Combined NPV, by discount-rate basis
$673.4M
At 5% discount rate -- Novador Gold Project, Val-d'Or, Quebec
5.9/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
5.9/10 vs.
6.8/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
6.8/10 vs.
How this is calculated
5.4/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
5.4/10 vs.
How this is calculated
7.4/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
7.4/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)6/10

    Fresnillo's entire operating portfolio (7 mines: Fresnillo, Ciénega, Herradura, Saucito, Noche Buena, Juanicipio, San Julián) is in Mexico. Score reflects Mexico's established but periodically-shifting mining/fiscal policy environment.

  • Infrastructure (40%)8.6/10

    A confirmed mill, confirmed road access, and a confirmed tailings facility at Fresnillo Mine; grid power not yet researched, counted at a neutral 5/10 until established.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)8/10

    Cozamin (Capstone Copper Corp) is 50 km away -- within regional-platform range.

6.4/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
6.4/10 vs.
Price Chart
$23.43$36.73$42.86$34.38$35.03AugDecMarJulOct
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$35.97
+40.5%from low-37.2%from high
$25.61$57.26
See who ↓
75%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
75% vs.
See who ↓
2.5%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
2.5% vs.
$26.5B
Far belowFar above
$26.5B vs. $689M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$35.97 (GBP 26.89)
Cash Position (USD)
$2.5B
Far belowFar above
$2.5B vs. $57.3M peer median
Debt (USD)
$840M
Far aboveFar below
$840M vs. $8.1M peer median
$24.8B
Far belowFar above
$24.8B vs. $599.2M peer median
736.9M
Far aboveFar below
736.9M vs. 270.1M peer median
Jurisdiction
Mexico
652,082,400 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Measured243,744,600 oz
Indicated408,337,800 oz
Inferrednot scored444,462,440 oz
Total resource1,096,544,840 oz
Far belowFar above
652.1M oz vs. 44.4M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$38.10/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$22.66/oz
Peer median $2.90/oz
Far aboveFar below
$38.10/oz vs. $4.55/oz peer median
Open pit and underground
See projects ↓
$32.87/oz AgEq
See projects ↓
See projects ↓
See projects ↓
See projects ↓
75%
0%100%
75% vs. 5% peer median
2.5%
0%100%
2.5% vs. 4.5% peer median
50 kmfrom Capstone Copper Corp's Cozamin
Within regional-platform range (~50km)
$1.3B
Far belowFar above
$1.3B vs. $12.6M peer median
$1.71
Far belowFar above
$1.71 vs. $0.072 peer median
21.09x
Far aboveFar below
21.09x vs. 40.51x peer median
$1.9B
Far belowFar above
$1.9B vs. $453.3M peer median
$2.63
Far belowFar above
$2.63 vs. $1.00 peer median

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
5.3/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not yet researched

    Holder register not researched yet

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    5/10

    Nearest producing mine: Cozamin (Capstone Copper Corp), 50 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    5.5/10

    Stage: Production

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    6/10

    Mexico: jurisdiction score 6/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    5/10

    Primary commodity: Silver

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
+23.1% since 2026-08-08 · -15.8% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
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CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
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Management Team

Chief Executive Officer of Fresnillo plc since 15 Aug 2012. Joined the Peñoles Group (Fresnillo's majority parent) in Aug 1988, holding a series of senior operational and financial roles -- Treasurer, Head of Investor Relations (London), Head of Procurement of Concentrates, General Manager of the Madero mine, and EVP Exploration, Engineering and Construction -- before becoming Fresnillo's CEO.

Chief Financial Officer of Fresnillo plc since its 2008 IPO/demerger from Industrias Peñoles. Before that, Group Treasurer (~6 years) then Chief Financial Officer (~11 years) of Industrias Peñoles (Fresnillo's majority parent); earlier still, investment banking at Valores Finamex and project management at Dupont México.

Chairman of Fresnillo plc since April 2021. Member of the Bailleres family, which controls Fresnillo's majority parent Industrias Penoles.

Senior Independent Director of Fresnillo plc; independent non-executive director for approximately nine years as of the 2026 AGM. Member of the Health, Safety, Environment and Community Relations Committee.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money

Not scored. Smart-money tracking covers companies below about US$5B in market cap, where a single specialist fund or strategic investor taking a stake is a meaningful signal. This company was above that size when it was assessed.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Fresnillo operates seven Mexican mines: Fresnillo, Saucito, Cienega, San Julian and Juanicipio (56%, a joint venture with Pan American Silver), plus the Herradura and Noche Buena gold mines in Sonora. Its 2025 Annual Report gives audited measured and indicated silver resources, inclusive of reserves and on an attributable basis, of about 652.1 Moz, with a further 444.5 Moz inferred; proven and probable reserves are 362.6 Moz of silver and 7.8 Moz of gold. Fresnillo does not publish a company-wide or mine-level NPV or IRR.