JUNIORMETRICS

Falco Resources Ltd.F

FPRGF·FPC·US$0.32 (CAD 0.45)·US$111.6M cap
Goldalso:Horne 5 Project, Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec, Canada Map

Falco Resources Ltd. (TSXV: FPC) is advancing the Horne 5 polymetallic gold-copper-zinc-silver deposit, located directly beneath the city of Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec, on the site of the historic Horne Mine (one of the largest gold-copper mines in Canadian history, operated by Noranda 1927-1976). An updated Feasibility Study (2026) more than tripled the project's value versus the 2021 FS: after-tax NPV5% of C$3.35 billion (a 244% increase), 28.2% IRR, C$6.4 billion in cumulative cash flow at a base-case gold price of US$3,600/oz, though initial capital also rose 62% to C$1.75 billion. Glencore (LSE: GLEN) holds development rights and operates a nearby smelter that would take Horne 5's concentrate. Quebec's Ministry of Environment reported the project's environmental-acceptability review nearly complete as of June 2026, with formal authorization the key near-term catalyst before a construction decision.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Financials score of 3.2/10 is weaker than the peer average of 5.3/10.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
FeasibilityCurrent
Permitting
Construction
Production
Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Road Access3 of 4 checked, 1 in place

Not in place: mill, grid power. Not yet determined: tailings facility.

Not yet researched
Weak track recordStrong track record
3.2/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
3.2/10 vs.
How this is calculated
6.5/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
6.5/10 vs.
How this is calculated
6/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
6/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)9/10

    Quebec: Fraser PPI 2025 is 79.39 of 100 (rank 23 of 68), which maps to 9 on this site's scale. Horne 5 sits directly beneath the city of Rouyn-Noranda, Abitibi-Temiscamingue, Quebec, Canada -- a stable, top-tier-rule-of-law jurisdiction with an extremely long mining history at this exact site (the historic Horne Mine operated 1927-1976). Quebec's Environment Ministry environmental-authorization review was reported nearly complete as of June 2026.

  • Infrastructure (40%)3.6/10

    No confirmed mill, confirmed road access, and no confirmed grid power at Horne 5 Project, Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec, Canada; tailings facility not yet researched, counted at a neutral 5/10 until established.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)Not yet researched

    No project coordinates on file yet, so distance to a producing mine can't be measured.

5.2/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
5.2/10 vs.
Price Chart
$0.197$0.307$0.286$0.332$0.32SepDecAprJulOct2
Sep 19, 2025 – Oct 15, 2026
News
$0.32
+68.4%from low-30.8%from high
$0.19$0.46
$111.6M
Far belowFar above
$111.6M vs. $22M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$0.32 (CAD 0.45)
Cash Position (USD)
$6.4M
Far belowFar above
$6.4M vs. $3.3M peer median
Debt (USD)
$28.9M
Far aboveFar below
$28.9M vs. $0 peer median
$134.1M
Far belowFar above
$134.1M vs. $19.4M peer median
349.9M
Far aboveFar below
349.9M vs. 154.2M peer median
Jurisdiction
Canada
4,888,971 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Far belowFar above
4.9M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
$27.42/oz
Far aboveFar below
$27.42/oz vs. $137.56/oz peer median
$782/oz2026 study
$2.5B2026 study · gold deck US$3,600 vs spot US$4,156/oz
Far belowFar above
$2.5B vs. $602M peer median
0.04x2026 study · gold deck US$3,600 vs spot US$4,156/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.04x vs. 0.33x peer median
0.05x2026 study · gold deck US$3,600 vs spot US$4,156/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.05x vs. 0.29x peer median
$1.3B2026 study
Far aboveFar below
$1.3B vs. $276.5M peer median
1.9xBelow Durrett's 2:1 bar2026 study · gold deck US$3,600 vs spot US$4,156/oz
Far belowFar above
1.9x vs. 2.4x peer median
$3,600/oz13% below spot ($4,156/oz)2026 study
28%Clears Durrett's 25% developer bar2026 study · gold deck US$3,600 vs spot US$4,156/oz
Far belowFar above
28% vs. 43% peer median
-$5M
Far belowFar above
-$5M vs. -$3.3M peer median
-$0.014
Far belowFar above
-$0.014 vs. -$0.017 peer median

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
9.7/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No producer stake on file; largest strategic holder is Osisko Development Corp. (16%) See holders

    Not an operating producer, so it isn't the toehold-then-takeout pattern the research documents; a missing producer stake isn't held against a company.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score: Not yet researched

    Distance not yet researched: no project coordinates on file

    Distance can't be measured without coordinates, so excluded rather than counted as far.

    Weight 22.5%
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Stage: Feasibility Study

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 57% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    9/10

    Canada: jurisdiction score 9/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 26% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 17% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Risk/Reward Asymmetry
0.05x EV/NPV2026 study· 8th percentile of 14 stage+commodity peers· Unexplained

EV/NPV of 0.05x sits in the 8th percentile among 14 feasibility-stage gold peers ranked on EV/NPV, despite a jurisdiction score of 9/10 -- high enough that jurisdiction risk alone doesn't obviously explain the discount. Not explained by this mechanical screen: either a mispricing, or a risk the screen can't see (a jurisdiction issue this score doesn't capture, or some other factor entirely) -- a separate, more speculative case with no identified resolution catalyst, not the jurisdiction-risk pattern. See this company's own profile page for any completed, cited research into why it trades at a discount, where that research exists.

No researched, cited finding on file yet for what specifically makes this company cheap vs. its peers. Flagged by the mechanical screen above; a real research pass hasn't reached this company yet.

A relative screen, not a probability and not a reason to buy. This flags companies trading unusually cheap on EV/NPV (market cap plus debt minus cash, per dollar of attributable study NPV) vs. peers of the same lifecycle stage and commodity, for a real, identifiable reason (a jurisdiction risk, a specific dispute, an incident, a financing gap) that may or may not ever resolve favorably. "Unexplained" candidates carry no identified driver at all -- a more speculative bucket than a named catalyst. The year chip is the study behind the NPV; amber means it is more than 5 years old (still the study on file, so it stays in this screen).

Overall Score Trend
-14.8% since 2026-09-19 · -16.1% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

Director of Falco Resources Ltd. since 23 May 2017. M.Sc., PMP.

President, CEO and Director of Falco Resources Ltd. since 16 Feb 2015 (director since 22 Dec 2014). Mining engineer.

Chairman of the Board of Falco Resources Ltd. Disclosed insider/owner of Osisko Gold Group Inc. (OGG) per SEC insider-transaction (Form 3/4/5) filings.

Lead Director of Falco Resources Ltd., having served as Chairman until Dec 2025.

Director of Falco Resources Ltd. since 21 Nov 2016. CPA, ICD.D.

CFO and Corporate Secretary of Falco Resources Ltd., appointed 9 Oct 2018. CPA.

VP Environment, Sustainable Development and Community Relations of Falco Resources Ltd., appointed 26 Mar 2017. Engineer, LL.B., ASC.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money

No smart-money tracking (institutional/large-investor activity) for this miner yet — this is a planned feature, not live data.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Falco Resources is advancing the Horne 5 gold-copper-zinc-silver deposit, which lies directly beneath the city of Rouyn-Noranda, Quebec, on the site of the historic Horne mine that Noranda operated from 1927 to 1976. Measured and indicated resources contain 4,888,971 oz of gold in 105.6 Mt at 1.44 g/t, along with silver, copper and zinc, and a proven and probable reserve of 80.9 Mt underpins the mine plan. The June 2026 updated feasibility study shows an after-tax NPV5% of US$2.50B (CAD 3.35B) and a 28.2% IRR at US$3,600/oz gold, with initial capital of US$1.31B (CAD 1.75B), average payable gold production of 220,300 oz a year and an all-in sustaining cost of US$782/oz net of by-product credits. Glencore holds development rights and operates the nearby smelter that would take Horne 5's concentrate, and Quebec's environment ministry's review of the project's environmental acceptability was nearly complete as of June 2026, with formal authorization the key step before a construction decision.