JUNIORMETRICS

Evolution Mining Limited

CAHPF·EVN·US$8.53 (AUD 12.16)·US$17.3B cap
Goldalso:Cowal, New South Wales, Australia (flagship) Map

Evolution Mining is a diversified Australian gold (and copper, via Ernest Henry) miner-developer operating five mines: Cowal (NSW, flagship open-pit/underground with an approved 10-year open-pit expansion to 2042), Ernest Henry (QLD, copper-gold, acquired from Glencore), Northparkes (NSW, open pit), Mungari (WA), and Red Lake (Ontario, Canada). FY2026 guidance: 710,000-780,000 oz gold and 70,000-80,000 tonnes copper at AISC of $1,640-$1,760/oz. Mineral Resources as at 31 Dec 2025: 31 million ounces of gold and 4.2 million tonnes of copper (net of depletion); Ore Reserves: 12 million ounces gold and 1.3 million tonnes copper. Cash balance $1,347 million; no debt repayments due until FY29.

Notable vs. Peers

  • All-in sustaining cost of $1,122/oz is 38% lower than the peer producer average of $1,814/oz.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
ProductionCurrent

Construction Milestones

5 of 5 reached
  1. Sep 2021 · Source
  2. Jul 2021 · Source
  3. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  4. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  5. Reached — date not disclosed · Source

Milestones are recorded only from a company's own dated disclosure. A milestone with no date shown is one we can confirm was reached but for which no date was disclosed — we don't estimate one. "Not yet reached" means exactly that, not that a date is missing. An "Expected" line likewise only ever reflects the company's own guidance (e.g. a study or permit decision targeted for a stated quarter) — most not-yet-reached milestones have none, and that absence means no such guidance has been disclosed, not that one is overdue.

Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Existing MillTailings FacilityRoad AccessGrid Power10/10 built out
5.9/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
5.9/10 vs.
5.5/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
5.5/10 vs.
How this is calculated
6.7/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
6.7/10 vs.
How this is calculated
8.6/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
8.6/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)9/10

    New South Wales: Fraser PPI 2025 is 73.26 of 100 (rank 37 of 68), which maps to 9 on this site's scale. Australia (NSW/QLD) is a Tier-1 mining jurisdiction with stable, established mining law.

  • Infrastructure (40%)10/10

    A confirmed mill, confirmed road access, confirmed grid power, and a confirmed tailings facility at Cowal, New South Wales, Australia.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)Not yet researched

    No producing mine within 50 km in our reference list (nearest listed: Mineral Hill (Kingston Resources Limited), 124 km). That list doesn't cover every mining district yet, so a longer distance isn't scored as remote.

6.7/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
6.7/10 vs.
Price Chart
$5.43$8.29$8.91$7.97$8.62AugDecMarJulOct22
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$8.53
+28.2%from low-29.3%from high
$6.65$12.06
See who ↓
0.8%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
0.8% vs.
See who ↓
66.8%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
66.8% vs.
$17.3B
Far belowFar above
$17.3B vs. $541.2M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$8.53 (AUD 12.16)
Cash Position (USD)
$889M
Far belowFar above
$889M vs. $91.1M peer median
Debt (USD)
$924M
Far aboveFar below
$924M vs. $6.2M peer median
$17.3B
Far belowFar above
$17.3B vs. $457.8M peer median
2B
Far aboveFar below
2B vs. 316.1M peer median
Jurisdiction
Australia
23,300,000 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Measured3,300,000 oz
Indicated20,000,000 oz
Inferrednot scored8,100,000 oz
Total resource31,400,000 oz
Far belowFar above
23.3M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$744.55/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$552.49/oz
Peer median $67.95/oz
Far aboveFar below
$744.55/oz vs. $132.92/oz peer median
Multi-asset: open pit + underground gold and copper-gold
$1,122/oz
0.8%
0%100%
0.8% vs. 12.1% peer median
66.8%
0%100%
66.8% vs. 3.3% peer median
124 kmfrom Kingston Resources Limited's Mineral Hill
Outside typical bolt-on range

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
5/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not yet researched

    Holder register not researched yet

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    2.5/10

    Nearest producing mine: Mineral Hill (Kingston Resources Limited), 124 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    5.5/10

    Stage: Production

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    9/10

    Australia: jurisdiction score 9/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-11.8% since 2026-08-08 · -20.2% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Evolution Mining Limited since 1 Jan 2023 (Finance Director and CFO 2014-2022; non-executive director since Nov 2011). More than 35 years' experience in the resources sector across commercial, financial and operational activities. Before Evolution, held corporate, operational and commercial roles across Australia, Papua New Guinea and Chile with Newcrest Mining (most recently Executive General Manager -- Commercial and West Africa) and BHP.

Chief Financial Officer of Evolution Mining Limited, effective early Sep 2025. 20 years' experience in the resources sector across multiple commodities in Australia, South and North America and South Africa. Before Evolution, Vice President Finance for BHP's Minerals Americas business, and earlier Head of Finance for BHP's Iron Ore business. Began her career at PwC. Chartered Accountant.

Non-Executive Chairman of Evolution Mining Limited since 2011.

Lead Independent Director of Evolution Mining Limited; Chair of the Risk & Sustainability Committee.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money

Not scored. Smart-money tracking covers companies below about US$5B in market cap, where a single specialist fund or strategic investor taking a stake is a meaningful signal. This company was above that size when it was assessed.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Evolution Mining's flagship is Cowal in New South Wales (100%), alongside Ernest Henry and Northparkes (copper-gold), Mungari in Western Australia and Red Lake in Ontario. Cowal's Open Pit Continuation project, approved in April 2025 with A$430M of capital, extends open-pit mining to give Cowal a mine life through 2042 and adds about 2 Moz of gold production. Evolution described it as adding an incremental NPV of A$875M to A$2.3B at a 34% to 71% IRR, depending on the gold price (A$3,300/oz at the low end); that is the value added by the extension, not Cowal's or Evolution's total.