JUNIORMETRICS

Bougainville Copper Ltd

BOCOF·BOC·US$0.11 (AUD 0.16)·US$45M capas of Sep 1, 2026
Copperalso:Panguna Copper-Gold Deposit, Bougainville, Papua New Guinea Map

IMPORTANT: as of June 2026 the Autonomous Bougainville Government suspended and subordinated Bougainville Copper's exploration licence (BCL's own wording; EL01 rights "now suspended and subordinated to LSML-01") and granted a competing 25-year mining lease over the historic Panguna deposit to a rival state-controlled entity, Bougainville Minerals Limited (ABG holds 74%). On 7 Aug 2026 ABG further authorised India's Lloyds Metals & Energy to conduct preparatory works and feasibility activities at Panguna as BML's "Approved Development Partner", and by ~11 Aug 2026 local landowners had publicly warned both BCL and Lloyds to halt unauthorised site activity. BCL's independent board committee reported to the board on 9 September 2026, and the company is taking further legal advice; it has not filed a challenge. Title status: while its licence stays suspended and subordinated to the lease, BCL has no usable title, so its Panguna resource is not counted on this page; it will be restored if BCL regains title. This is an active, unresolved control dispute over the company's core asset, not settled fact. Bougainville Copper holds historic rights to the giant Panguna copper-gold deposit (5.3Mt contained copper, 19.3Moz gold resource) in Bougainville, Papua New Guinea, idle since 1989 due to civil conflict. Share price (AUD $0.185, Aug 12 2026) is down sharply on the license news. Cash is left unstated here (not confidently found); debt is stated as $0 per recent AGM commentary that the company is debt-free, which is unconfirmed against a formal balance sheet.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Jurisdiction risk score of 2/10 is meaningfully riskier than the peer average of 7.7/10.

Lifecycle Milestones

GrassrootsCurrent
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
Production
Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
1 of 4 checked, 0 in place

Not in place: mill. Not yet determined: tailings facility, road access, grid power.

Not yet researched
Weak track recordStrong track record
Not yet researched
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
How this is calculated
Not yet researched
Weaker depositStronger deposit
How this is calculated
3.2/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
3.2/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)2/10

    Mine idle since 1989 due to civil conflict; as of mid-2026 the company's core exploration license was suspended and subordinated by the regional government in favor of a rival state-backed entity, with legal/strategic options under board review but no litigation filed -- an active, high political/regulatory risk.

  • Infrastructure (40%)3.6/10

    No confirmed mill at Panguna Copper-Gold Deposit, Bougainville, Papua New Guinea; road access, grid power, and tailings facility not yet researched, counted at a neutral 5/10 until established.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)Not yet researched

    No producing mine within 50 km in our reference list (nearest listed: Lihir (Newmont Corporation), 473 km). That list doesn't cover every mining district yet, so a longer distance isn't scored as remote.

Not yet researched
Weaker profileStronger profile
Price Chart
$0.438$0.745$0.529$0.427$0.114AugNovFebJunSep2
Aug 12, 2025 – Sep 1, 2026as of Sep 1, 2026
Stage changeNews
$0.11
+7.2%from low-93.6%from highas of Sep 1, 2026
$0.10$1.77
See who ↓
0%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
0% vs.
See who ↓
0%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
0% vs.
$45Mas of Sep 1, 2026
Far belowFar above
$45M vs. $29.1M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$0.11 (AUD 0.16)as of Sep 1, 2026
Cash Position (USD)
Debt (USD)
$0
Far aboveFar below
$0 vs. $0 peer median
$45Mas of Sep 1, 2026Estimated: no verified cash figure (counted as $0)
Far belowFar above
$45M vs. $26.4M peer median
401.1M
Far aboveFar below
401.1M vs. 171.1M peer median
Jurisdiction
Papua New Guinea
Open pit
0%
0%100%
0% vs. 10.4% peer median
0%
0%100%
0% vs. 2.8% peer median
473 kmfrom Newmont Corporation's Lihir
Outside typical bolt-on range

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
1.3/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    A disclosed corporate action (not an acquisition or merger)

    A corporate action of this kind says nothing about takeover susceptibility, so it isn't scored.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    Autonomous Bougainville Government (incl. via Bougainville Minerals Ltd) holds 72.89% (reported 27 Apr 2026) See holders

    Already majority-controlled, so a sale is its controlling holder's decision; the toehold-then-takeout pattern this input measures doesn't apply.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    0/10

    Nearest producing mine: Lihir (Newmont Corporation), 473 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    1/10

    Stage: Grassroots Exploration

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    2/10

    Papua New Guinea: jurisdiction score 2/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    8/10

    Primary commodity: Copper

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-23.3% since 2026-08-19 · -23.3% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
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CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
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Management Team

Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Bougainville Copper Ltd. A respected Bougainvillean with over three decades in the resources and minerals sector; previously served as BCL chairman from February 2018, joined the board in 2017, served as acting CEO from August 2025 following the death of predecessor Johnny Patterson Auna, and was confirmed as permanent CEO in 2026 while remaining Chairman.

Company Secretary of Bougainville Copper Ltd.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money
1/10

Bougainville Copper's register is dominated by government and private-company holders rather than disclosed producers or resource-specialist funds, and we found no insider buying activity in the past year.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Bougainville Copper holds historic rights to the Panguna copper-gold deposit on Bougainville, Papua New Guinea, which has been idle since 1989 because of civil conflict. In June 2026 the Autonomous Bougainville Government suspended the company's exploration licence over Panguna and subordinated it to a new 25-year mining lease granted to Bougainville Minerals Limited, which the government holds 74% of, and on 7 August 2026 it authorised India's Lloyds Metals & Energy, as that company's development partner, to carry out preparatory works and feasibility activities at Panguna. Bougainville Copper's independent board committee reported to the board on 9 September 2026 and the company is taking further legal advice, but it has not filed a challenge. Title status: while its licence stays suspended and subordinated to the lease, the company has no usable title, so its Panguna resource is not counted on this page; it will be restored if the company regains title. Its shares have been suspended from ASX quotation since 1 September 2026 for not lodging its half-year report by the due date.