JUNIORMETRICS

Antofagasta PLCA

ANTO·US$44.04 (GBP 32.92)·US$43.4B cap
CopperLos Pelambres Mine, Coquimbo Region, Chile -- Antofagasta's flagship and longest continuously-operated asset (60% owned, in production since Dec 1999) Map

Antofagasta PLC (LSE: ANTO) is a London-incorporated, Luksic-family-controlled copper mining group whose four producing mines are all in Chile. Los Pelambres (Coquimbo Region; Antofagasta 60%, with Japanese consortium partners holding the balance since a 1997 stake sale) is the flagship: construction began following 1997 environmental approval, first production was achieved Dec 1999 with a then-record 84-day ramp-up, and the mine celebrated its 25th anniversary of value creation in 2025 having produced more than 8.5 million tonnes of copper to date (320,000 tonnes in 2024 alone). Centinela (also Antofagasta-operated) had its Ore Reserve estimate increased 35% to 2.6 billion tonnes following the addition of the Encuentro sulphides pit (738Mt at 0.45% Cu) as at 31 Dec 2024, and is mid-construction on a Second Concentrator Project. Zaldivar (50%-owned) received Group approval in Q2 2026 for a ~$0.9 billion water-pipeline investment enabling a transition away from continental water sourcing from mid-2028, supporting a potential mine-life extension to 2051 there as well. Antamina-scale byproduct exposure comes from gold and molybdenum (roughly 22% of H1 2026 group revenue combined, with copper the remaining ~77-78%); H1 2026 EBITDA rose 27% on record copper prices even as group copper production of 285,000 tonnes was 9% below the prior-year half, reflecting reduced Los Pelambres throughput from higher maintenance activity and lower grades. Group net debt was $3,966.1 million as at 30 Jun 2026 (net debt/EBITDA 0.68x), up from $2,749.5 million at 31 Dec 2025. Title status: Twin Metals (Minnesota, 100% Antofagasta) had its federal mineral leases 1352 and 1353 cancelled and its preference right lease applications rejected in 2022; its federal court challenge is pending. Antofagasta's resource statement still includes the Twin Metals estimate, and it is counted here, flagged; the company has said those leases held a significant proportion of the resources behind Twin Metals' plans.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Financials score of 3.7/10 is weaker than the peer average of 5.6/10.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
ProductionCurrent

Construction Milestones

5 of 5 reached
  1. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  2. Reached — date not disclosed · Source
  3. Jan 1997 · Source
  4. Dec 1999 · Source
  5. Reached — date not disclosed · Source

Milestones are recorded only from a company's own dated disclosure. A milestone with no date shown is one we can confirm was reached but for which no date was disclosed — we don't estimate one. "Not yet reached" means exactly that, not that a date is missing. An "Expected" line likewise only ever reflects the company's own guidance (e.g. a study or permit decision targeted for a stated quarter) — most not-yet-reached milestones have none, and that absence means no such guidance has been disclosed, not that one is overdue.

Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Existing MillTailings FacilityRoad AccessGrid Power10/10 built out
7.1/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
7.1/10 vs.
3.7/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
3.7/10 vs.
How this is calculated
6.9/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
6.9/10 vs.
How this is calculated
7.8/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
7.8/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)7/10

    All of Antofagasta's producing mines are in Chile, an established and generally mining-friendly jurisdiction, though one with real permitting friction: the EIA for the Los Pelambres life-extension project, submitted in December 2024, was still awaiting approval at last report. Mining royalties and water rights are also recurring subjects of political debate in Chile.

  • Infrastructure (40%)10/10

    A confirmed mill, confirmed road access, confirmed grid power, and a confirmed tailings facility at Los Pelambres Mine.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)Not yet researched

    No producing mine within 50 km in our reference list (nearest listed: Tambo de Oro (Minera HMC S.A.), 118 km). That list doesn't cover every mining district yet, so a longer distance isn't scored as remote.

6.4/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
6.4/10 vs.
Price Chart
$29.40$40.33$47.23$48.33$42.93AugDecAprJulOct8
Aug 26, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$44.04
+33.1%from low-25.8%from high
$33.09$59.32
$43.4B
Far belowFar above
$43.4B vs. $750.4M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$44.04 (GBP 32.92)
Cash Position (USD)
$2.1B
Far belowFar above
$2.1B vs. $87.7M peer median
Debt (USD)
$6.1B
Far aboveFar below
$6.1B vs. $39M peer median
$47.4B
Far belowFar above
$47.4B vs. $720.7M peer median
985.9M
Far aboveFar below
985.9M vs. 457.9M peer median
Jurisdiction
Chile
34,020,110 t Cu
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Measured12,311,020 t Cu
Indicated21,709,090 t Cu
Inferrednot scored32,054,190 t Cu
Total resource66,074,300 t Cu
Far belowFar above
34M t vs. 953.4K t peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$1,392.76/t
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$717.10/t
Peer median $191.63/t
Far aboveFar below
$1,392.76/t vs. $334.76/t peer median
Open pit (Los Pelambres, Centinela, Antucoya, Zaldivar -- conventional truck-shovel open-pit mining; concentrate/flotation and SX-EW processing)
10 yrs2024 study
Far belowFar above
10 yrs vs. 19 yrs peer median
118 kmfrom Minera HMC S.A.'s Tambo de Oro
Outside typical bolt-on range

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
4.7/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No producer holds a disclosed stake on file (holder register researched) See holders

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    2.7/10

    Nearest producing mine: Tambo de Oro (Minera HMC S.A.), 118 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    5.5/10

    Stage: Production

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    7/10

    Chile: jurisdiction score 7/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    8/10

    Primary commodity: Copper

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
+12.3% since 2026-08-26 · -1.5% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

Chief Executive Officer of Antofagasta plc (since 2016, having been CEO of Antofagasta Minerals since Feb 2015), succeeding Diego Hernandez. Before Antofagasta, Vice-President of Administration and Finance at Codelco; before that, President of Pampa Norte, VP Production (Base Metals) and CFO (Base Metals) at BHP Billiton; and almost 20 years at Shell across Chile, the UK, Argentina and the US. MSc Finance, London School of Economics.

Chief Financial Officer of Antofagasta plc. Electrical engineer with an MSc in Metals and Energy Finance; 14 years' experience across the energy, mining and railway industries before this role, including General Manager Transport at FCAB (Antofagasta's own railway subsidiary), Finance Manager at Codelco's Chuquicamata division, Business Development Principal at Rio Tinto, and various operating and project roles at BHP Billiton.

Executive Chairman of Antofagasta plc since 2004 (director since 1990). Member of the Luksic family, Antofagasta's controlling shareholder group. Before his Antofagasta chairmanship, Vice Chairman of Madeco S.A. (a Chilean copper-products manufacturer, also within the family's Quiñenco group). Vice-Chairman of Quiñenco's board since 2013 (member since 1993); also Vice-Chairman of SM SAAM S.A./SAAM S.A. and a director of Banco de Chile. BSc Management and Science, London School of Economics.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money

No smart-money tracking (institutional/large-investor activity) for this miner yet — this is a planned feature, not live data.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Antofagasta operates four copper mines in Chile: Los Pelambres (60% owned, producing since December 1999), Centinela, Antucoya and Zaldivar. It does not publish a single company-level NPV or IRR. The mine life shown is for Los Pelambres on its currently approved reserves, to about 2035; a proposed extension to 2051 has not yet been approved.

Recent News

CommoditiesCopperEarningsGuidanceMining
CopperEarningsFree Cash FlowPrice TargetSplitUpgrade Downgrade
Balance SheetCommoditiesCopperDividendsEarningsMiningShareholder
CopperDividendsEarningsEarnings Per ShareFourth QuarterGeopolitical RisksPrice TargetPrice TargetShareholderSplit
EarningsMiningPrice TargetPrice TargetUpgrade Downgrade
Balance SheetCopperDividendsEarningsFinancial ResultsInflationRegulationShareholder