JUNIORMETRICS

Almaden Minerals Ltd.

AAUAF·AMM·US$0.12 (CAD 0.17)·US$16.6M cap
Goldalso:Ixtaca deposit, Puebla, Mexico (concessions cancelled and reverted to the Government of Mexico; Almaden holds no title and is claiming damages under the CPTPP) Map

Almaden Minerals Ltd. (TSXV: AMM, formerly also dual-listed on TSX/NYSE American as AAU) was the developer of the Ixtaca gold-silver deposit in Puebla, Mexico, which it held through its Mexican subsidiary, with a 2.0% royalty held by the related company Almadex Minerals Ltd. Title status: Almaden no longer holds the ground. Its two Ixtaca mineral titles were suspended in June 2022 after a Mexican Supreme Court ruling on Indigenous consultation. Mexico's economy ministry then retroactively denied the original title applications, so the mineral rights were cancelled and reverted to the government, and the company says it does not hold title to the Tuligtic property or the Ixtaca project. A December 2018 Feasibility Study outlined an after-tax NPV (5%) of US$310 million and a 42% after-tax IRR over an 11-year mine life, on Proven and Probable reserves of 1.387 million ounces of gold and 85.16 million ounces of silver; because Almaden no longer holds the ground, neither the study's economics nor its resource is counted on this page. Almaden and Almadex are claiming damages from Mexico under the CPTPP, with the claim raised to US$2.68 billion; in August 2026 the tribunal moved the hearing from December 2026 to July 2027.

Notable vs. Peers

  • Financials score of 8.9/10 is stronger than the peer average of 5.3/10.
  • Jurisdiction risk score of 6/10 is meaningfully riskier than the peer average of 7.8/10.

Lifecycle Milestones

GrassrootsCurrent
Resource Def.
PEA
PFS
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
Production
Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Road Access2.9/10 built out

Not in place: mill, tailings facility, grid power.

5.1/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
5.1/10 vs.
8.9/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
8.9/10 vs.
How this is calculated
Not yet researched
Weaker depositStronger deposit
How this is calculated
4.5/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
4.5/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)6/10

    Puebla, Mexico. The Ixtaca deposit reached bankable Feasibility Study status in 2018, but Mexican authorities denied/blocked permitting circa 2019-20 on indigenous-consultation grounds, and the project has been non-active since -- a materially higher effective risk than the base Mexico jurisdiction score would suggest. Almaden is now pursuing CPTPP/ICSID international arbitration against the Mexican government (claim raised to US$2.68B; hearing scheduled Dec 2026).

  • Infrastructure (40%)2.9/10

    No confirmed mill, confirmed road access, no confirmed grid power, and no confirmed tailings facility at Ixtaca Deposit.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)Not yet researched

    No producing mine within 50 km in our reference list (nearest listed: Zacualpan (Royal Mines) (IMPACT Silver Corp.), 220 km). That list doesn't cover every mining district yet, so a longer distance isn't scored as remote.

5.9/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
5.9/10 vs.
Price Chart
$0.179$0.151$0.154$0.179$0.121AugDecMarJulOct
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
Stage changeNews
$0.12
+14.9%from low-52.1%from high
$0.11$0.25
$16.6M
Far belowFar above
$16.6M vs. $22.1M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$0.12 (CAD 0.17)
Cash Position (USD)
$4.2M
Far belowFar above
$4.2M vs. $3.3M peer median
Debt (USD)
Far aboveFar below
$0 vs. $0 peer median
$12.4M
Far belowFar above
$12.4M vs. $19.4M peer median
137.4M
Far aboveFar below
137.4M vs. 154.2M peer median
Jurisdiction
Mexico
Project stalled, permitting blocked, pursuing international arbitration; no active construction or production
4.4%
0%100%
4.4% vs. 12.1% peer median
220 kmfrom IMPACT Silver Corp.'s Zacualpan (Royal Mines)
Outside typical bolt-on range
-$448.8K
Far belowFar above
-$448.8K vs. -$3.3M peer median
-$0.003
Far belowFar above
-$0.003 vs. -$0.018 peer median

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
2.1/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    A disclosed corporate action (not an acquisition or merger)

    A corporate action of this kind says nothing about takeover susceptibility, so it isn't scored.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No producer holds a disclosed stake on file (holder register researched) See holders

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    0/10

    Nearest producing mine: Zacualpan (Royal Mines) (IMPACT Silver Corp.), 220 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    1/10

    Stage: Grassroots Exploration

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    6/10

    Mexico: jurisdiction score 6/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-21.3% since 2026-08-21 · -28% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
—SELLINGBUYING
CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
Overall— (0) 
Management— (0) 
Financials— (0) 
Jurisdiction— (0) 
Project Quality— (0) 

Management Team

Chairman and founder of Almaden Minerals Ltd.; also Chairman of Almadex Minerals Ltd. Received his geological engineering degree in 1962 and identified the Santa Fe gold property in Nevada in 1972; founded Almaden Minerals and took it public in 1986, and also discovered the Trinidad gold deposit in Mexico.

President and Chief Executive Officer of Almaden Minerals Ltd. Holds a Bachelor of Commerce and a Master's in Applied Science (mineral economics) from UBC, with eighteen years of experience in resources-sector M&A and international trade policy, including five years as a Canadian Foreign Service officer.

Chief Financial Officer of Almaden Minerals Ltd.; also Chief Financial Officer of Almadex Minerals Ltd. and Chief Financial Officer & Secretary of Mustang Minerals Limited. Chartered Professional Accountant with over twenty years in corporate finance and natural-resources taxation, including prior roles at Sprott and Ernst & Young.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money
1/10

Almaden today is largely an arbitration claim: it is pursuing Mexico for US$1.06 billion over the Ixtaca gold-silver project, funded by up to US$9.5 million of third-party litigation finance arranged in June 2024, with the hearing rescheduled in August 2026. Litigation money is not a shareholder, and we found no producer, strategic or named institutional holder on the register, nor any reported institutional ownership figure. The one positive signal is co-founder Duane Poliquin buying 250,000 shares on the open market at C$0.055 in December 2024, with nothing sold since — genuine, but twenty months old.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Almaden Minerals was the developer of the Ixtaca gold-silver deposit in Puebla, Mexico, which carries a 2.0% royalty held by the related company Almadex Minerals. Title status: its two Ixtaca mineral titles were suspended in June 2022 after a Mexican Supreme Court ruling on Indigenous consultation, Mexico's economy ministry then retroactively denied the original title applications, and the company says it does not hold title to the Tuligtic property or the Ixtaca project, so neither the December 2018 feasibility study's economics nor its reserves are counted on this page. Almaden and Almadex are claiming damages from Mexico under the CPTPP, with the claim raised to US$2.68 billion, which is a claimed amount and not an award. In August 2026 the tribunal moved the hearing from December 2026 to July 2027, and the claim is funded under a US$9.5M non-recourse litigation funding agreement.