JUNIORMETRICS

Astral Resources NL

AARLF·AAR·US$0.098 (AUD 0.14)·US$176.9M cap
GoldMandilla Gold Project, Kalgoorlie, Western Australia Map

Astral Resources' 100%-owned Mandilla Gold Project near Kalgoorlie, Western Australia hosts a resource of roughly 1.43 million ounces of gold across the Theia, Iris, Eos and Hestia deposits, with a completed pre-feasibility study outlining a 19-year mine life and A$2.8 billion in forecast pre-tax free cash flow, and a Definitive Feasibility Study now targeted for completion in the March quarter of 2027 (delayed from an original mid-2026 target -- management attributes the delay to split tenure/approval issues on the Mandilla tenements, not technical weakness; all tenements subject to the DFS are now covered by Land Use Agreements, incl. one signed with the Marlinyu Ghoorlie Native Title Claim Group).

Notable vs. Peers

  • Financials score of 8.3/10 is stronger than the peer average of 5.3/10.

Lifecycle Milestones

Grassroots
Resource Def.
PEA
PFSCurrent
Feasibility
Permitting
Construction
Production
Prior Ownership & Infrastructure
Road Access2.9/10 built out

Not in place: mill, tailings facility, grid power.

5.4/10
Weak track recordStrong track record
5.4/10 vs.
8.3/10
Thin runwayWell-capitalized
8.3/10 vs.
How this is calculated
5.1/10
Weaker depositStronger deposit
5.1/10 vs.
How this is calculated
6.7/10
Harder place to buildEasier place to build
6.7/10 vs.
What goes into it
  • Jurisdiction (40%)9/10

    Western Australia: Fraser PPI 2025 is 88.53 of 100 (rank 13 of 68), which maps to 9 on this site's scale. Western Australia, Australia — top-tier, low political-risk mining jurisdiction.

  • Infrastructure (40%)2.9/10

    No confirmed mill, confirmed road access, no confirmed grid power, and no confirmed tailings facility at Mandilla Gold Project, Kalgoorlie, Western Australia.

  • Nearby producing mine (20%)10/10

    Spargos Reward (Westgold Resources Limited) is 16 km away -- within shared-mill trucking range.

6.4/10
Weaker profileStronger profile
6.4/10 vs.
Price Chart
$0.116$0.166$0.134$0.095$0.098AugDecAprJulOct2
Aug 12, 2025 – Oct 20, 2026
News
$0.098
+33.8%from low-52.4%from high
$0.073$0.21
See who ↓
21.2%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
21.2% vs.
See who ↓
28.6%
Low alignmentHigh alignment
28.6% vs.
$176.9M
Far belowFar above
$176.9M vs. $21.9M peer median
Price (USD - Local)
US$0.098 (AUD 0.14)
Cash Position (USD)
$45M
Far belowFar above
$45M vs. $3.3M peer median
Debt (USD)
Far aboveFar below
$0 vs. $0 peer median
$131.9M
Far belowFar above
$131.9M vs. $19.4M peer median
1.8B
Far aboveFar below
1.8B vs. 153.6M peer median
Jurisdiction
Australia
1,147,000 oz
Feeds Deposit Quality score
Measured57,000 oz
Indicated1,090,000 oz
Inferrednot scored588,000 oz
Total resource1,735,000 oz
Far belowFar above
1.1M oz vs. 1.3M oz peer median
Compares M&I only — Inferred isn't compared or scored.
$114.97/oz
M&I
Total resource (incl. Inferred)$76.01/oz
Peer median $67.95/oz
Far aboveFar below
$114.97/oz vs. $133.23/oz peer median
0.0307 oz/tCut-off: 0.40 g/t Au (Mineral Resource lower cut-off, pit-shell constrained at an A$4,500/oz gold price assumption)
Far belowFar above
0.0307 oz/t vs. 0.0383 oz/t peer median
Open pit
19 yrs2025 study
Far belowFar above
19 yrs vs. 11.1 yrs peer median
$1,355/oz2025 study
@8%$650.7M2025 study · gold deck US$2,763 vs spot US$4,133/oz
Far belowFar above
$650.7M vs. $602M peer median
0.27x2025 study · gold deck US$2,763 vs spot US$4,133/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.27x vs. 0.32x peer median
0.20x2025 study · gold deck US$2,763 vs spot US$4,133/oz
Far aboveFar below
0.20x vs. 0.30x peer median
$147.6M2025 study
Far aboveFar below
$147.6M vs. $293.2M peer median
4.4xClears Durrett's 2:1 bar2025 study · gold deck US$2,763 vs spot US$4,133/oz
Far belowFar above
4.4x vs. 2.3x peer median
$2,763/oz33% below spot ($4,133/oz)2025 study
86%Clears Durrett's 25% developer bar2025 study · gold deck US$2,763 vs spot US$4,133/oz
Far belowFar above
86% vs. 43% peer median
21.2%
0%100%
21.2% vs. 12.1% peer median
28.6%
0%100%
28.6% vs. 3.3% peer median
16 kmfrom Westgold Resources Limited's Spargos Reward
Within shared-mill range (~20km)
-$13.7M
Far belowFar above
-$13.7M vs. -$3.3M peer median
-$0.008
Far belowFar above
-$0.008 vs. -$0.018 peer median

Acquisition Susceptibility

How this is calculated
8.5/10
Unlikely bolt-onFits the takeout profile

A relative ranking of how closely this company matches the profile of juniors that have actually been acquired — not a probability, and not a reason to buy. Acquisitions are rare: only a few dozen significant deals happen a year across a universe of thousands of juniors, so even a high score here describes a long shot. The strongest signal in the research, a producer that already owns part of the company, is scored from its disclosed strategic shareholders. A producer that is a joint-venture or earn-in partner on the project, rather than a shareholder, isn't captured yet.

How this score is built

  • Disclosed pending deal
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No pending acquisition or merger disclosed (checked)

    Not scored: having no deal in flight isn't held against a company.

    Weight 26.25%
  • Producer's strategic stake
    Sub-score: Not scored

    No producer holds a disclosed stake on file (holder register researched) See holders

    Not scored: most juniors that do get bought had no prior toehold, so a missing stake says little either way.

    Weight 25%
  • Distance to a producing mine
    Sub-score:
    8.4/10

    Nearest producing mine: Spargos Reward (Westgold Resources Limited), 16 km

    10 next to a producing mine, 8 at 20 km, 5 at 50 km, 0 beyond 200 km.

    Weight 22.5% · 46% here
  • Lifecycle stage
    Sub-score:
    8/10

    Stage: Pre-Feasibility Study

    Feasibility and permitting score 10, where deals cluster, and production 5.5; earlier stages score less, down to 1 at grassroots.

    Weight 15% · 31% here
  • Jurisdiction
    Sub-score:
    9/10

    Australia: jurisdiction score 9/10

    Our jurisdiction score, used as is: higher means lower political and permitting risk.

    Weight 6.75% · 14% here
  • Commodity
    Sub-score:
    10/10

    Primary commodity: Gold

    Gold 10, copper 8, silver 5, nickel and uranium 4, others 2: most majors' deals are for gold.

    Weight 4.5% · 9% here

Weight is each input's share of the full score. “Here” is its share of this company's score: inputs that aren't scored are left out and the rest re-weighted, never counted as zero.

Overall Score Trend
-32.6% since 2026-07-26 · -34% from peak

Your Rankings

Community Sentiment
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CategoryCommunityYour Ranking
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Management Team

Managing Director of Astral Resources NL, joined 23 Dec 2019. 20+ years in mining; previously Managing Director, Egan Street Resources Limited (ASX:EGA) until its takeover by Silver Lake Resources; earlier Superintendent Control at Roy Hill.

Chief Operating Officer of Astral Resources NL. Mining engineer (Bachelor of Resource Engineering, UWA); senior roles in operations, site management, project development/construction, business development, and risk management; previously General Manager Technical Strategy & Growth at Glencore, plus roles at Egan Street Resources, Minara Resources, Xstrata Nickel, Western Areas, Gold Fields.

Chief Financial Officer and Company Secretary of Astral Resources NL, roughly 6 years' tenure.

Exploration Manager of Astral Resources NL, background in exploration project planning.

Insiders, Investors & Smart Money

Notable shareholders and insiders whose involvement is worth knowing about, plus what we're seeing from institutional/large-investor activity.

Smart money
5/10

Two independent specialist managers sit above 5%: Ninety One UK Limited at roughly 5.7-6.9%, which bought 89.5 million shares for A$17.4M in December 2025, and Jupiter Fund Management at about 5.09%. 1832 Asset Management holds about 4.99%. Director-related party Marc Ducler bought 500,000 shares on-market at A$0.20 in January 2026. Institutional ownership of 28.6% corroborates. Bank of Nova Scotia ceased to be a substantial holder in March 2026.

No notable insiders tracked for this miner yet.

Reports, Presentations & Documents

Technical Report Takeaways

Astral Resources owns 100% of the Mandilla gold project near Kalgoorlie in Western Australia, covering the Theia, Iris, Eos and Hestia deposits and planned as an open-pit mine. Mandilla holds 1,147,000 oz of gold in measured and indicated resources (57,000 oz measured, the first at Theia, and 1,090,000 oz indicated) plus 588,000 oz inferred, from an April 2026 update that grew the total resource by 22% to 53.5 Mt at 1.0 g/t for 1.74 Moz. The June 2025 pre-feasibility study shows an after-tax NPV8% of US$651M (AUD 1,001M) and an 86% IRR at US$2,762.50/oz (AUD 4,250/oz) gold, with pre-production capital of US$147.6M (AUD 227M), a 19-year mine life including 13 years of mining, and an all-in sustaining cost of US$1,355/oz (AUD 2,085/oz). A definitive feasibility study is now targeted for the March quarter of 2027, later than first planned because of tenure and approval issues, and all tenements in the study are now covered by land use agreements.